VOA标准英语2012--IMF Optimistic About Global Economic Growth

搜索关注在线英语听力室公众号：tingroom，领取免费英语资料大礼包。

There's also good news from Europe, where coordinated¹ efforts by the European Union may have eliminated the threat of a Greek default and lowered borrowing costs in other high debt countries. 

But IMF chief economist² Olivier Blanchard says the global economic picture is complicated. "Things have quieted down since but an uneasy calm remains³. One has the feeling that at any moment, things could well get very bad again," he said. 

Analysts⁴ point to Spain as a potential risk. Yields for Spanish bonds have doubled since March on speculation⁵ that Europe's fourth largest economy might seek financial support. But William Hobbs from VP Research says that's an unlikely scenario⁶. "Spain is not Greece. Spain has a viable⁷, albeit⁸ open-to-reform economy, and they have globally-respected businesses and generally an economy which we think will eventually see it through these dark times to come," he said. 

The IMF sees promise in developing economies, particularly those in Asia, which are projected to grow 7.5 percent this year. China's growth will likely slow slightly to 8.2 percent. But the pace is expected to accelerate in the Middle East and North Africa as oil prices continue to rise. 

Improvements are also seen in sub-Saharan Africa and South Africa, where economic output is likely to expand 5 and a half percent. Still, Olivier Blanchard of the IMF sees reason for caution. "For many countries, the challenges come mainly from the outside in the form of lower exports to advanced countries because of the low growth there, of the volatility⁹ of commodity prices which affects both exporters and importers and the high volatility of capital flows," he said. 

The IMF report comes as the 187-nation institution and its sister lending organization, the World Bank, prepare to hold annual spring meetings in Washington.

分享到：