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Egyptians Predict Escalating1 Security Backlash 埃及暴力抗议局势升级
CAIRO — The violence enveloping2 Egypt has grown worse in recent days, with attacks on security forces across the country and more than 50 people killed in clashes between anti-government protesters and police. Some see it as a backlash to the heavy-handed tactics of the military, which toppled Islamist President Mohamed Morsi.
The violence engulfing3 Egypt is escalating, with militant4 attacks on security forces and clashes between protesters and police. Some predict it will only lead to a greater military crackdown with worsening consequences.
“Repression5 doesn't work. Of course repression doesn't work. But it is the vanity of power,” said public policy professor Emad Shahin of The American University In Cairo.
Shahin thinks military leaders, who boast massive popular support, are seizing the moment for a final showdown with their long-time foes6. "They think that the plan by which they managed to charge, to mobilize the anger of people against Morsi's rule and administration and so on, has gained a momentum7 and it really is time to break down the Islamists,” he stated.
The military's “war on terror” is being waged against the broad spectrum8 of Egypt's Islamists, from peaceful protesters to armed militants9. The jihadist core is based in the Sinai peninsula and enjoys little popular support, but their attacks appear to be spreading.
Mustafa Labbad, director of the Al Sharq Center for Regional and Strategic Studies, believes they can be contained. "According to balance of power, I don't think we have a civil war. We have a conflict, and it would last for months to come, but balance of power is clearly in favor of the military," he said.
The spirit of defiance10 unleashed11 in Egypt's 2011 revolution may prove a more formidable challenge. Emad Shahin points to an widely-seen image.
"Imagine this 16-year-old girl, her photo is everywhere, that raised the sign of Rabaa in front of an entire school, in front of the state security guy in the school trying to intimidate12 them. A single girl is not intimidated13. That's the culture of protest that they cannot break,” said Shahin.
For now, the majority is still throwing its support behind the military against its opponents. But Labbad says there are questions of how long that can last.
"After a while you have to solve your social and economic problems, and it wouldn’t matter if you are wearing a uniform or casual wear. If you are in power, you have to solve these problems.”
Repression against one group may be possible, analysts14 say. But in protest-ready Egypt, which toppled a repressive leader in 2011, and saw mass rallies against its now-ousted president this year, trying to keep down a larger movement is hard.
1 escalating | |
v.(使)逐步升级( escalate的现在分词 );(使)逐步扩大;(使)更高;(使)更大 | |
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2 enveloping | |
v.包围,笼罩,包住( envelop的现在分词 ) | |
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3 engulfing | |
adj.吞噬的v.吞没,包住( engulf的现在分词 ) | |
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4 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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5 repression | |
n.镇压,抑制,抑压 | |
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6 foes | |
敌人,仇敌( foe的名词复数 ) | |
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7 momentum | |
n.动力,冲力,势头;动量 | |
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8 spectrum | |
n.谱,光谱,频谱;范围,幅度,系列 | |
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9 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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10 defiance | |
n.挑战,挑衅,蔑视,违抗 | |
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11 unleashed | |
v.把(感情、力量等)释放出来,发泄( unleash的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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12 intimidate | |
vt.恐吓,威胁 | |
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13 intimidated | |
v.恐吓;威胁adj.害怕的;受到威胁的 | |
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14 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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