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During months of negotiations1, the Afghan Taliban promised the United States that it would never again be attacked from Afghan soil. Such a promise would have included al-Qaida.
Eighteen years ago, al-Qaida’s leadership planned attacks on the U.S. mainland from inside Afghanistan, which was controlled, at the time, by the Taliban. The attacks were carried out on September 11, 2001.
The Taliban and al-Qaida are linked together by their shared history and desire for jihad, or holy war. And there is no evidence that the two groups have broken off relations.
Earlier, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the Taliban had agreed to cut ties with al-Qaida as part of peace negotiations.
President Donald Trump2 broke off the negotiations last week after a suicide bombing in Kabul killed 11 people. One of those killed belonged to the U.S. armed forces.
Experts: Taliban and al-Qaida remain allies
The al-Qaida leadership still vows5 loyalty6 to Taliban chief Maulvi Hibatullah Akhunzada. Experts say that the group has overcome setbacks, such as the establishment of an Islamic State group affiliate7 in eastern Afghanistan. The militants9 also have set up a group called al-Qaida in the Indian Subcontinent, which has influence as far as Myanmar.
Asfandyar Mir is with the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University in Palo Alto, California.
Mir says that al-Qaida has recovered recently and its ties with the Taliban remain strong.
“There is no discernible evidence of a break or disjuncture between al-Qaida and the Taliban,” he told the Associated Press. “Instead, at least parts of the Afghan Taliban, such as the Haqqani Network, and al-Qaida continue to actively10 collaborate11,” he added.
In the 1980s, U.S. officials were among those who urged Arab fighters to travel to Afghanistan to fight with the Afghan mujahedeen, or holy warriors12. They were allied13 in an effort to oust14 the Soviet15 Union, which entered Afghanistan in late 1979.
Saudi Arabia’s government helped finance that “holy war.”
Today, many former members of the mujahedeen force make up the Taliban leadership. Others are part of the U.S.-supported Afghan government.
As the war against the Soviet occupation came to a close in 1988, many Arab fighters came together to follow a rich Saudi leader named Osama bin3 Laden16. They created the militant8 group al-Qaida. Later, the group would seek to fight the U.S. government.
Afghanistan has suffered through years of fighting. The Taliban movement came to power in 1996 and ruled the country until it was ousted17 by the U.S.-led coalition18 in 2001.
Eighteen years of fighting have left the Taliban and its allies in control of, or influential19 in, half the country. That is its strongest position since the U.S.-led action in 2001 forced the group from power.
A U.S. government report suggests that the number of al-Qaida militants has also grown in recent years. Allied groups, such as the Pakistani Taliban, who hid in Afghanistan to escape the Pakistani military, are also gaining strength.
And Afghanistan still has many foreign fighters. A United Nations Security Council report from July said that “the largest concentrations of active foreign terrorist fighters” are in Syria and Afghanistan. Most are linked to al-Qaida.
Some members of the Taliban have tried to distance themselves from al-Qaida. But reports say al-Qaida remains20 allied to the Taliban’s leadership and its Haqqani network.
The Afghanistan expert Asfandyar Mir said that, in places that the group controls, the Taliban appoints governors who have ties to al-Qaida.
So, it is unclear how the Taliban could guarantee that Afghanistan would not become a safe place for terrorists after a peace deal is signed. U.S. peace representative Zalmay Khalilzad has yet to discuss details of his negotiations.
It remains unclear if the Taliban provided any information on where al-Qaida leaders are hiding, including bin Laden’s replacement21, Ayman al-Zawahiri.
Bill Roggio is a terrorism expert and main editor for The Long War Journal, published by the Foundation for Defense22 of Democracies in Washington, D.C. He said that al-Zawahiri and al-Qaida’s media group, as-Sahab, “remain in operation and likely are based in Pakistan or Afghanistan.”
Mir said al-Qaida’s media group creates propaganda aimed at Afghans and Pakistanis.
Roggio said the group has expanded to operate in many areas. He added that, “While al-Qaida’s ability to conduct a 9/11-style attack has been diminished, this does not make it any less a threat.”
I’m Mario Ritter Jr.
Words in This Story
vow4 –v. a serious promise to do something or behave in a certain way
affiliate – n. a person or group officially connected to a larger organization
discernible –adj. observable, recognizable
collaborate –v. to work together on some project
concentration –n. densely23 grouped together, having many members
to distance oneself –v. to show a lack of involvement with someone or something
diminish –v. to reduce or make smaller
1 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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2 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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3 bin | |
n.箱柜;vt.放入箱内;[计算机] DOS文件名:二进制目标文件 | |
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4 vow | |
n.誓(言),誓约;v.起誓,立誓 | |
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5 vows | |
誓言( vow的名词复数 ); 郑重宣布,许愿 | |
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6 loyalty | |
n.忠诚,忠心 | |
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7 affiliate | |
vt.使隶(附)属于;n.附属机构,分公司 | |
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8 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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9 militants | |
激进分子,好斗分子( militant的名词复数 ) | |
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10 actively | |
adv.积极地,勤奋地 | |
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11 collaborate | |
vi.协作,合作;协调 | |
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12 warriors | |
武士,勇士,战士( warrior的名词复数 ) | |
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13 allied | |
adj.协约国的;同盟国的 | |
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14 oust | |
vt.剥夺,取代,驱逐 | |
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15 Soviet | |
adj.苏联的,苏维埃的;n.苏维埃 | |
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16 laden | |
adj.装满了的;充满了的;负了重担的;苦恼的 | |
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17 ousted | |
驱逐( oust的过去式和过去分词 ); 革职; 罢黜; 剥夺 | |
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18 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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19 influential | |
adj.有影响的,有权势的 | |
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20 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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21 replacement | |
n.取代,替换,交换;替代品,代用品 | |
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22 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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23 densely | |
ad.密集地;浓厚地 | |
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