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A team of American investors1 currently touring Africa looking for opportunities says the U.S. financial crisis could sharply restrict western investment in emerging economies. But VOA correspondent Peter Heinlein in Addis Ababa reports Africa's best economic performers appear well-placed to avoid the fallout from the downturn in global markets.
The tour of African capitals was planned before the latest financial shockwaves that unnerved investors and prompted urgent action in Washington to prop2 up markets. Several executives who had signed up to participate have stayed home or cut short their visits to attend to business back home.
But the half dozen brokers3 and hedge fund managers who stopped in the Ethiopian capital this week agree Africa still presents excellent investment opportunities for those willing to take the risk. Zoran Milojevic of the New York brokerage firm Auerbach Grayson says African markets are mostly immune to the shock waves rocking more developed economies.
"We believe this crisis taking place in the United States and western Europe has very little impact on what's happening on the African continent because it has been secluded4 and totally uncorrelated with the rest of the world," Milojevic said. "That said, the four major African capital markets which are Egypt, South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya, being the largest and most liquid ones, have been as of late following the trends of underperforming. The other ones such as Botswana, Namibia, Ghana, Zambia have been doing pretty well."
Another member of the team, Cliff Quisenberry of the U.S. west coast firm Caravan5 Capital says despite the relatively6 better investment climate in Africa, global economic jitters7 (worries) are prompting investors to postpone8 or cancel plans to take advantage of African opportunities.
"I do think the environment is very negative in the U.S. and it has implications worldwide, for the world economy," Quisenberry said. "The disadvantage of that for somebody like myself is it does make people a little bit more on edge. Their tolerance9 for risk drops and they may view Ethiopia or some of these frontier markets as risky10. Even here in Ethiopia I've heard of a few instances where funding that was coming out of the U.S. has kind of been turned off."
Economists11 in Addis Ababa say a downturn in the U.S. economy could result in a drop in the estimated one billion dollars a year in hard currency remittances12 sent from Ethiopians living abroad to relatives back home. But African financiers say there could be a silver lining13 to the dark economic cloud. As one put it, 'the less attractive the West is as a point for investment, the more the developing economies benefit."
1 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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2 prop | |
vt.支撑;n.支柱,支撑物;支持者,靠山 | |
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3 brokers | |
n.(股票、外币等)经纪人( broker的名词复数 );中间人;代理商;(订合同的)中人v.做掮客(或中人等)( broker的第三人称单数 );作为权力经纪人进行谈判;以中间人等身份安排… | |
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4 secluded | |
adj.与世隔绝的;隐退的;偏僻的v.使隔开,使隐退( seclude的过去式和过去分词) | |
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5 caravan | |
n.大蓬车;活动房屋 | |
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6 relatively | |
adv.比较...地,相对地 | |
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7 jitters | |
n.pl.紧张(通常前面要有the) | |
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8 postpone | |
v.延期,推迟 | |
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9 tolerance | |
n.宽容;容忍,忍受;耐药力;公差 | |
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10 risky | |
adj.有风险的,冒险的 | |
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11 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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12 remittances | |
n.汇寄( remittance的名词复数 );汇款,汇款额 | |
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13 lining | |
n.衬里,衬料 | |
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