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One year after the signing of a power-sharing agreement in Kenya, a new survey indicates a sharp decline in public confidence in the country's coalition1 government. The poll comes as corruption2 scandals and a proposed electoral commission widen the government's partisan3 divisions.
Kenya's President Mwai Kibaki (l) and opposition4 chief Raila Odinga sign agreement in Nairobi, 28 Feb 2008
This week marks the first anniversary of the power-sharing agreement signed between Kenya's two main political parties, which put an end to weeks of violence, following disputed presidential elections. That the government is still together and widespread violence has not returned can be seen as an achievement.
But when asked in a new survey by Steadman - a prominent Kenyan polling outfit5 - to name the government's main accomplishments6, the reply of more than two-thirds of respondents was a resounding7 "nothing."
Similarly, less than a third of the sample thought that Kenya's leaders are committed to tackling the major challenges facing the country, from fighting corruption, to punishing those suspected of involvement in the post-election violence.
In the past year, the country's two major political groups have both lost support. Prime Minister Raila Odinga's Orange Democratic Movement remains8 more popular than President Mwai Kibaki's Party of National Unity9, by a margin10 of 38 to 23 percent. According to researcher Tom Wolfe, who conducted the survey, a growing number of Kenyans say they have abandoned both parties.
"I looked at political party alignment11 figures a year ago," Wolfe said. "At that time 53 percent identified with ODM, PNU was at 29 percent, ODM-Kenya was at seven percent. But the interesting thing is, a year ago, those who said they didn't affiliate12 with any party were only seven percent. Now it's 37."
Recent weeks have seen the already-prominent divisions between the coalition partners grow even more glaring.
Last week, Justice Minister Martha Karua, an ally of the president, led a failed attempt to oust13 Agriculture Minister William Ruto, an ally of the prime minister, about corruption allegations.
This week, the government has been responding to parliament's rejection14 of the proposed head of Kenya's new electoral commission. Cecil Miller15 has been accused of having close ties to political leaders from President Kibaki's Kikuyu ethnic16 group from Central Kenya, reopening the ethnic political divisions that marked the 2007 election.
Fewer than one third of the respondents in the Steadman survey think the coalition government will hold together until the next elections, scheduled for 2012.
A recent report by the Quaker church in Kenya suggests that ethnic tensions in the Rift17 Valley remain acute. The region saw the worst of the post-election violence, much of it between members of Ruto's Kalenjin group and the Kikuyu group of Karua and President Kibaki.
Quaker Peace Director John Muhanji says there remains a real risk of renewed violence.
"Unless the Kenyan leaders, both the church and the political elite18, and the entire community, especially from our top leaders, take the initiative of reconciling these communities, if elections are called tomorrow, there will be a lot of violence in the Rift Valley," Muhanji said.
Adding to popular frustrations19 with the government's performance has been a sluggish20 economic performance, caused in large part to last year's clashes. Kenya's finance minister announced this week that growth for 2008 was less than 2.5 percent, down from more than seven percent in 2007.
1 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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2 corruption | |
n.腐败,堕落,贪污 | |
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3 partisan | |
adj.党派性的;游击队的;n.游击队员;党徒 | |
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4 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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5 outfit | |
n.(为特殊用途的)全套装备,全套服装 | |
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6 accomplishments | |
n.造诣;完成( accomplishment的名词复数 );技能;成绩;成就 | |
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7 resounding | |
adj. 响亮的 | |
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8 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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9 unity | |
n.团结,联合,统一;和睦,协调 | |
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10 margin | |
n.页边空白;差额;余地,余裕;边,边缘 | |
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11 alignment | |
n.队列;结盟,联合 | |
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12 affiliate | |
vt.使隶(附)属于;n.附属机构,分公司 | |
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13 oust | |
vt.剥夺,取代,驱逐 | |
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14 rejection | |
n.拒绝,被拒,抛弃,被弃 | |
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15 miller | |
n.磨坊主 | |
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16 ethnic | |
adj.人种的,种族的,异教徒的 | |
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17 rift | |
n.裂口,隙缝,切口;v.裂开,割开,渗入 | |
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18 elite | |
n.精英阶层;实力集团;adj.杰出的,卓越的 | |
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19 frustrations | |
挫折( frustration的名词复数 ); 失败; 挫败; 失意 | |
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20 sluggish | |
adj.懒惰的,迟钝的,无精打采的 | |
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