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President Obama is scheduled to visit Australia this month following a trip to Indonesia. In Australia he will be among friends and will be the guest of a center-left government that shares many of the president's policies on Afghanistan and climate change. Foreign policy analysts2, however, say the emergence3 of China has the potential to disrupt the long-standing U.S.-Australia alliance.
The last time an American president visited Australia, large numbers of protesters angry at the war in Iraq rallied in Sydney when President George W. Bush attended an Asia-Pacific economic conference.
Demonstrators are again planning to march in several Australian cities during President Barack Obama's visit next week, although the protests are expected to be far smaller.
Foreign policy analysts say Mr. Obama's trip is mainly about maintaining the alliance - or dropping in on friends. He is to address Australia's federal Parliament in Canberra, only the sixth world leader to do so.
Washington and Canberra signed a formal security pact4 in the early 1950s, in which the Americans agreed to defend Australia in the event of an attack.
Brendon O'Connor, an associate professor at the U.S. Studies Center at the University of Sydney, thinks many Australians trust that President Obama will make the relationship even stronger.
"Australians supported Obama over McCain at a higher rate than nearly any country in the world," said O'Connor. "There were some polls done on this and I think this is quite remarkable5 and you might say 'well, why was this the case?' and I think it was the case that Australia wants to have this very strong security relationship with the United States and stuck with it during the Bush administration, particularly our prime minister [John Howard] but it wanted to see a different face on that leadership and I think the face of Obama was comforting to Australians. They realized this is a very long-standing and on-going relationship."
For nearly 70 years, the two countries have been close allies. In recent times, Canberra has given strong support to the U.S.-led military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan, despite public misgivings6.
Tom Switzer, a political analyst1 and the editor of The Spectator Australia commentary magazine, says this cozy7 relationship could be tested by the emergence of China. He says the United States sees China as a potential threat but Australia views it as a vital economic partner.
"The rise of China means different things for the United States and Australia," said Switzer. "For the United States, its emergence potentially means the rise of a great power rival. But for Australia, it increasingly means a very strong trading relationship and indeed one of the reasons why Australia is weathering the financial storm is because of China's insatiable lust8 for our raw materials and resources and I think that in years to come with China's rise there could be a bit of friction9 there between Washington and Canberra."
President Obama will discuss a range of matters during his Australian trip, including security and intelligence matters as well as the global economic recovery.
Anti-war activists10 in Australia are planning several demonstrations11 during the visit. But, while former President Bush's presence at the summit in Sydney was a catalyst12 for great public protest, Mr. Obama's trip is less contentious13.
Still, Pip Hinman, from Sydney's Stop The War Coalition14, says the president's failure to scale back the conflict in Afghanistan contributed to a general sense of disappointment in the Obama presidency15.
"There was a huge surge of hope in the election of President Barack Obama and I think you can see now that those hopes have been dashed to a large extent. So, it is not just the global financial crisis and his bailing16 out of the banks, the actual cause of this financial crisis, the housing foreclosures, the job losses - all of that has lead to this huge disappointment. It is the fact also that he has stepped up the war [in Afghanistan]," said Pip Hinman.
Among Australian citizens, the president's visit prompts a range of opinions about the alliance with the United States.
"The Australian government tends to look upon America as the Supreme17 Being and want to be on their side," said an older man.
One woman says she opposed the American-led fight in Iraq.
"Nobody wants to send people to war. I think Iraq was wrong, I don't think we should have gone in there. I think that was wrong. Afghanistan is different. Afghanistan - fair enough. Go there but not Iraq," she said.
Other Australians think the alliance is worth celebrating.
"Very good. Why? I just think because of the Second World War. If it was not for the Americans, I think we would be Japanese-owned here," says a man.
President Obama will visit his childhood home in Indonesia before traveling to Australia later this month.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 emergence | |
n.浮现,显现,出现,(植物)突出体 | |
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4 pact | |
n.合同,条约,公约,协定 | |
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5 remarkable | |
adj.显著的,异常的,非凡的,值得注意的 | |
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6 misgivings | |
n.疑虑,担忧,害怕;疑虑,担心,恐惧( misgiving的名词复数 );疑惧 | |
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7 cozy | |
adj.亲如手足的,密切的,暖和舒服的 | |
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8 lust | |
n.性(淫)欲;渴(欲)望;vi.对…有强烈的欲望 | |
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9 friction | |
n.摩擦,摩擦力 | |
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10 activists | |
n.(政治活动的)积极分子,活动家( activist的名词复数 ) | |
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11 demonstrations | |
证明( demonstration的名词复数 ); 表明; 表达; 游行示威 | |
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12 catalyst | |
n.催化剂,造成变化的人或事 | |
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13 contentious | |
adj.好辩的,善争吵的 | |
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14 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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15 presidency | |
n.总统(校长,总经理)的职位(任期) | |
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16 bailing | |
(凿井时用吊桶)排水 | |
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17 supreme | |
adj.极度的,最重要的;至高的,最高的 | |
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