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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Experts Predict Syria Fighting May Escalate 专家预测叙利亚战争可能升级
LONDON — While the world’s diplomats1 work in New York to hammer out an agreement on the disposal of Syria’s chemical weapons, and United Nations investigators2 head back into Syria, experts say fighting in the more than two-year-long civil war may well become more intense.
Syria could be losing all or most of its chemical weapons, which gave it a significant advantage over rebel forces. Experts say that could lead to intensified3 attacks from both sides.
Retired4 British Brigadier Ben Barry, now at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, says with the loss of its chemical weapons, the Syrian government is likely to make more extensive use of its other military assets.
“That has reduced an element of the regime’s military advantage. But of course the regime still has lots of heavy firepower, including tanks, mortars5, artillery6 and ground-launched rockets, which is a much more important part of its capability,” Barry explained.
According to experts at the Institute, last month's chemical weapons attack and the lack of a Western military response has left the rebels feeling disappointed and abandoned. They say that will likely move the rebels to take a more aggressive approach on the battlefield. Emile Hokayem, a senior fellow at the institute’s Middle East Center, predicts a significant spike7 in violence.
“Actually, I think that in coming months, in fact, the fighting is going to increase massively, and we will probably see even more massacres8, just because there is a sense right now that there is no outside help coming, so it’s a free-for-all,” Hokayem said.
And that would make it more difficult for United Nations inspectors9 to find and destroy or transport Syria’s chemical weapons. Still, if Russia restrains Syrian government forces and the West convinces the rebels not to interfere10 with the inspectors, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon thinks the plan could work.
"Both sides who have influence on government forces and opposition11 forces could influence political pressure or whatever. I think that can be done. Yes," admitted Ban.
That will be tested this week, as a team of inspectors arrives in Syria. And experts are not convinced that cooperation will be a priority for neither the government nor the rebels.
1 diplomats | |
n.外交官( diplomat的名词复数 );有手腕的人,善于交际的人 | |
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2 investigators | |
n.调查者,审查者( investigator的名词复数 ) | |
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3 intensified | |
v.(使)增强, (使)加剧( intensify的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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4 retired | |
adj.隐退的,退休的,退役的 | |
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5 mortars | |
n.迫击炮( mortar的名词复数 );砂浆;房产;研钵 | |
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6 artillery | |
n.(军)火炮,大炮;炮兵(部队) | |
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7 spike | |
n.长钉,钉鞋;v.以大钉钉牢,使...失效 | |
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8 massacres | |
大屠杀( massacre的名词复数 ); 惨败 | |
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9 inspectors | |
n.检查员( inspector的名词复数 );(英国公共汽车或火车上的)查票员;(警察)巡官;检阅官 | |
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10 interfere | |
v.(in)干涉,干预;(with)妨碍,打扰 | |
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11 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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