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Harvests allay1 food inflation concern
CHANGCHUN, Oct. 10 (Xinhua) -- Spikes2 in food prices could be devastating3 as it may force policy makers4 to reverse actions being used to stimulate5 China's weakest growth in three years.
Soaring overseas grain prices and disasters in China's corn belt fed into such worries during the last three months. However, overseas prices have retreated with China expecting a bumper6 harvest.
A senior agricultural official in Jilin, the country's No. 1 corn-producing province, said pest outbreaks and a strong typhoon in August has caused limited damage, with farmers expecting to harvest more this year.
"There has not been a big impact on corn harvesting," said Ren Kejun, director with the Jilin provincial7 agriculture committee. Corn production is still set to reach a historic high because pest outbreaks have not spread and corn acreage grew by 275,000 hectares, he said.
In summer, China's wheat production grew 3 percent from a year earlier, with weather conditions good for growing winter wheat.
China is self-sufficient when it comes to wheat production and it produces 95 percent of the corn that is consumed. The increase in harvest means an adequate supply for the domestic market.
The pressure of imported inflation lulled8 too. Global grain prices climbed to record high in August after a worst-in-decades drought battered9 the U.S. Midwest. Prices took a dive in September as American farmers' harvest soothed10 concerns of a supply shortage.
The U.S. Agriculture Department said corn harvest was more than half complete by September 30, and the soybean harvest was 41 percent finished, much faster than normal pace.
In addition to supply recovery, high prices also cooled industrial and overseas demand for U.S. crops, bringing down trading prices in the world's biggest grain producer and exporter.
Chicago Board of Trade corn futures11 for December delivery slipped 0.5 cents Tuesday to settle at 7.415 U.S. dollars a bushel, down 10.7 percent from a historic high in August.
Chicago soybean for November delivery, pressured by higher than expected production, dipped over 10 percent in September, and hit a three-month low last Wednesday.
Declines in soybean prices will help to tame inflationary pressures in China, which has over 80 percent of its domestic soybean demand being relied on by imports.
"Overall, prices have reached stabilization12 in the short-term," said Ryland Maltsbarger, director with IHS Agriculture Services. He predicted that the South American crop output should weaken prices further at the end of 2012 unless weather conditions deteriorate13.
Chris Narayanan, head of agricultural commodities research at Societe Generale, agreed, He said the market will remain bearish14, as long as there is strong production in South America.
Analysts15 also predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve's QE3, though creating downward pressures on U.S. dollars, is not going to raise dollar-traded commodity prices.
"The weakness in Europe as well as slowing growth in China has negated16 this impact so far," Maltsbarger said.
Echoing the overseas grain price slump17, a report from the Bank of Communications said food prices in China remained stable in September. It estimated the country's inflation gauge18 -- Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth -- fell to 1.8 percent in September and will stay low for the rest of 2012.
The low-inflation forecast gives China more leeway to join in global financial loosening, especially as the Chinese economy missed expectations of recovery in the third quarter.
China's central bank Tuesday pumped a record 265 billion yuan (42.1 billion U.S. dollars) into the financial market, suggesting that the government is beefing up measures to stimulate the world's second-largest economy.
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1 allay | |
v.消除,减轻(恐惧、怀疑等) | |
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2 spikes | |
n.穗( spike的名词复数 );跑鞋;(防滑)鞋钉;尖状物v.加烈酒于( spike的第三人称单数 );偷偷地给某人的饮料加入(更多)酒精( 或药物);把尖状物钉入;打乱某人的计划 | |
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3 devastating | |
adj.毁灭性的,令人震惊的,强有力的 | |
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4 makers | |
n.制造者,制造商(maker的复数形式) | |
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5 stimulate | |
vt.刺激,使兴奋;激励,使…振奋 | |
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6 bumper | |
n.(汽车上的)保险杠;adj.特大的,丰盛的 | |
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7 provincial | |
adj.省的,地方的;n.外省人,乡下人 | |
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8 lulled | |
vt.使镇静,使安静(lull的过去式与过去分词形式) | |
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9 battered | |
adj.磨损的;v.连续猛击;磨损 | |
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10 soothed | |
v.安慰( soothe的过去式和过去分词 );抚慰;使舒服;减轻痛苦 | |
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11 futures | |
n.期货,期货交易 | |
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12 Stabilization | |
稳定化 | |
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13 deteriorate | |
v.变坏;恶化;退化 | |
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14 bearish | |
adj.(行情)看跌的,卖空的 | |
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15 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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16 negated | |
v.取消( negate的过去式和过去分词 );使无效;否定;否认 | |
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17 slump | |
n.暴跌,意气消沉,(土地)下沉;vi.猛然掉落,坍塌,大幅度下跌 | |
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18 gauge | |
v.精确计量;估计;n.标准度量;计量器 | |
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