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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
推特首次公开募股(IPO),你该买它的股票吗?
Another social media giant is going public. Twitter, the online micro-blogging service, launches its initial public offering (IPO) of stock on the New York Stock Exchange Thursday. Interest in owning a slice of the popular social networking site has been high - helping1 to boost share prices nearly 25 percent higher ahead of its launch. But should you buy into the hype?
It’s the biggest technology IPO since Facebook. And if all goes as planned, Twitter could sell as many as 80 million shares priced between $23 to $25 apiece. That would generate about $2 billion, giving Twitter a market value of $14 billion. But is it really worth it?
Professor Aswath Damodaran at the Stern School of Business in New York says the numbers are just a starting point - based on what bankers think investors2 are willing to pay.
“They’re pricing Twitter based on what Facebook is trading for, and Linked-in is trading for. They’re not valuing the company. To value the company you’ve got to go back to basics: What are the revenues, what are the margins4, what are the profits? I personally think from a valuation perspective that 23 to 25 is too high," said Damodaran.
Damodaran says that doesn’t mean investors won't make money. But unless you’re willing to monitor stock prices daily, he advises amateur investors to stay away.
“I’d say wait for Twitter to settle down. The first year or two after a company goes public, it’s really going to go through waves of momentum5 that are very difficult to forecast. So you have to make a decision whether you’re a trader or an investor," he said.
Part of the problem is that Twitter has yet to prove it can make a profit. And despite its large user base, it still lags behind other social networks, says market analyst6 Nate Elliott.
"According to our survey data, less than one-fourth of U.S. online users go to Twitter every month. It's not a bad number, but it's far behind what Facebook claims as active users in the U.S.," said Elliott.
The challenge for Twitter is not just how it expands but how it generates enough advertising7 revenue - without driving away 230 million users worldwide.
Whether Twitter can do that remains8 to be seen.
Facebook, which made its public debut9 amid intense hype last year, lost nearly half its value in the first four months. It’s now trading about 30 percent higher than when it first launched. Experts say Twitter could go through similar growing pains. So before you buy, wait for the dust to settle.
1 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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2 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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3 spoke | |
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说 | |
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4 margins | |
边( margin的名词复数 ); 利润; 页边空白; 差数 | |
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5 momentum | |
n.动力,冲力,势头;动量 | |
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6 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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7 advertising | |
n.广告业;广告活动 a.广告的;广告业务的 | |
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8 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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9 debut | |
n.首次演出,初次露面 | |
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