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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Spain's economy
Iberian dawn
The labour market is recovering at last. But it needs further reform
THIS was the news the government had been waiting for.
“Spain's labour market has made a 180-degree turn,” crowed the prime minister, Mariano Rajoy,
as the country announced the first annual rise in employment in six years.
The numbers show that unpopular reforms to the malfunctioning1 labour market are starting to work. But there is plenty left to do.
In the past year Spain has created 190,000 jobs. T
he unemployment rate, still one of the highest in the euro zone, fell from 26% to 24.5% (see chart),
and the labour force stopped shrinking after six straight quarters of decline.
The labour reform in 2012 gave companies more flexibility2 to set wages
and working conditions themselves rather than through sector-wide bargaining,
and cut severance3 payments for unfair dismissals.
Those changes, buttressed4 by a deal between unions and employers,
tempered wage growth that had far outstripped5 gains in productivity.
How much credit do they deserve for the upturn6 in employment?
The answer may determine the political fate of Mr Rajoy,
who defied street protests to push reform through and faces a general election by the end of next year.
The opposition7 Socialist8 Party claims that the number of unemployed9 has risen by more than 600,000 since Mr Rajoy took office in 2011,
despite the reforms. Pedro Sanchez, the party's new secretary-general, promises to repeal10 them if it regains11 power.
That would be a mistake. Other factors contributed to the jobs recovery, especially the “whatever it takes”
pledge by the European Central Bank two years ago to save the euro.
But reform played an important role, says Rafael Domenech, an economist12 at BBVA, a bank.
One piece of evidence is that Spain is creating jobs at lower rates of GDP growth than before.
In previous cycles, employment rose when growth hit 2%. This time the gain came during a year when GDP expanded by just 1.2%.
To make a serious dent13 in unemployment, however, Spain will need to be more ambitious.
Without further changes, the jobless rate will not dip below 20% until 2019, according to the IMF.
The structural14 unemployment rate—the level reached when the economy is working at capacity—is 18%, triple that of America.
One problem is that many small companies (with ten workers or fewer) have not benefited from greater flexibility.
That is because the process of opting15 out of sector-wide agreements can be cumbersome16. Such opt-outs could be made easier.
Another is that nearly a quarter of workers are still on temporary contracts.
This is damaging, because they are much less productive than those with permanent jobs and employers do not invest in them.
One way to encourage firms to hire permanent workers would be to cut severance payments to the levels of other European countries.
Nor has much been done for the 3.5m people who have been jobless for more than a year, says Marcel Jansen of Madrid's Autónoma University.
Many are poorly educated: Spain has one of the highest school drop-out rates in the OECD.
Those with qualifications often find that they are not the ones employers want.
The answers, says Mr Jansen, include spending more on retraining and overhauling17 state-run employment offices,
which do a poor job of matching workers' skills with local employers' needs.
The government has tightened18 rules for people receiving unemployment benefit to encourage them to look for work or to take training courses.
But they need to be effectively enforced.
The government could lower the cost of hiring workers by cutting social-security contributions, which are high by European standards.
A rise in value-added tax could pay for that. Others advocate lowering the minimum wage for unskilled workers.
Mr Rajoy says he will not let up on reform until Spain's unemployment plague becomes merely a “sad” episode in history.
He has started talks with unions and employers on a package of job-friendly measures, to be hammered out after the summer break.
1 malfunctioning | |
出故障 | |
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2 flexibility | |
n.柔韧性,弹性,(光的)折射性,灵活性 | |
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3 severance | |
n.离职金;切断 | |
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4 buttressed | |
v.用扶壁支撑,加固( buttress的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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5 outstripped | |
v.做得比…更好,(在赛跑等中)超过( outstrip的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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6 upturn | |
n.情况好转 | |
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7 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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8 socialist | |
n.社会主义者;adj.社会主义的 | |
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9 unemployed | |
adj.失业的,没有工作的;未动用的,闲置的 | |
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10 repeal | |
n.废止,撤消;v.废止,撤消 | |
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11 regains | |
复得( regain的第三人称单数 ); 赢回; 重回; 复至某地 | |
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12 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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13 dent | |
n.凹痕,凹坑;初步进展 | |
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14 structural | |
adj.构造的,组织的,建筑(用)的 | |
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15 opting | |
v.选择,挑选( opt的现在分词 ) | |
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16 cumbersome | |
adj.笨重的,不便携带的 | |
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17 overhauling | |
n.大修;拆修;卸修;翻修v.彻底检查( overhaul的现在分词 );大修;赶上;超越 | |
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18 tightened | |
收紧( tighten的过去式和过去分词 ); (使)变紧; (使)绷紧; 加紧 | |
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19 looming | |
n.上现蜃景(光通过低层大气发生异常折射形成的一种海市蜃楼)v.隐约出现,阴森地逼近( loom的现在分词 );隐约出现,阴森地逼近 | |
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