-
(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
North Korea has conducted four missile tests so far this year
Some experts believe that North Korea's testing is going according to a long-term plan, that could include long-range missile testing in the near future.
A MARTINEZ, HOST:
Last year, it took North Korea nine months to conduct four missile tests. This year, it's taken them less than two weeks. These tests are banned by U.N. Security Council resolutions, but North Korea has made it clear that it's planning big upgrades to its nuclear arsenal2. NPR's Anthony Kuhn reports from Seoul.
ANTHONY KUHN, BYLINE3: Last Friday, North Korea claims to have launched two missiles from trains. Just hours earlier, it warned that it would respond to the Biden administration's sanctions on Pyongyang in connection with its missile programs. But Lee Ho-ryung, a researcher at the Korea Institute for Defense4 Analyses, a government think tank in Seoul, says the sanctions were just a convenient pretext5 to test weapons that were already in the works.
LEE HO-RYUNG: (Through interpreter) They are, in fact, testing weapons according to an existing plan, although the tests are presented as a reaction to events, such as South Korea's presidential election.
KUHN: Pyongyang could also test missiles to grab attention ahead of U.S. midterm elections this year. But Lee argues that plans to develop the missiles were laid three years ago, after then-President Donald Trump6 walked out on nuclear negotiations7 with the North's leader, Kim Jong Un. And some of those missiles are reaching the testing stage right about now.
LEE: (Through interpreter) It usually takes about three years from planning a weapon's development to testing it. So to calculate back, North Korea has used the time since the breakdown8 of the 2019 Hanoi summit to develop these weapons.
KUHN: Kim had already built and tested an atomic bomb and an ICBM in 2017, but he couldn't get what he wanted - security guarantees and relief from sanctions. So, Lee says, he decided9 to develop newer, more powerful weapons.
LEE: (Through interpreter) If North Korea posed a threat before, solely10 with its nuclear capability11, now it pursues what will give it a second-strike capability.
KUHN: That means developing missiles that can evade12 initial enemy attacks, such as missiles launched from submarines and trains. North Korea also wants longer-range missiles that can reach all of the continental13 U.S. and carry multiple warheads. Kim Jong Un outlined a plan to develop such weapons in a January 2021 speech.
(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)\
KIM JONG UN: (Non-English language spoken).
KUHN: "We must raise our defense, science and technology to a higher level," he said, "and carry out the goals and tasks of munitions14 production without fail." Kim's five-year plan ends in 2026.
Park Hyeong Jung, an emeritus15 researcher at the Korea Institute for National Unification, a Seoul-based government think tank, says Pyongyang is likely to unveil its biggest and most provocative16 weapons last.
PARK HYEONG JUNG: (Through interpreter) By 2023, '24 or '25, they will be able to actually test these weapons, but it's unlikely that they're completed yet. So between 2023 and 2025, a crisis could erupt.
KUHN: The Biden administration says it's open to an incremental17 deal that could offer some sanctions relief if Pyongyang limits its nuclear programs. It insists it has no hostile intent towards Pyongyang and is willing to talk anytime, anywhere. Pyongyang has rejected these overtures18, and Park says it'll probably continue to do so until its plan is complete.
PARK: (Through interpreter) North Korea has to show off crucial new capabilities19 to diplomatically overwhelm the U.S. and South Korea. So until then, they're unlikely to come out to negotiate.
KUHN: Isolated20 by sanctions and the pandemic, North Korea faces economic hardships and chronic21 food shortages. But Park says that North Korea is determined22 to upgrade its arsenal, regardless of the cost.
Anthony Kuhn, NPR News, Seoul.
(SOUNDBITE OF LITTLE NORTH'S "HUNTRESS")
1 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
2 arsenal | |
n.兵工厂,军械库 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
3 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
4 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
5 pretext | |
n.借口,托词 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
6 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
7 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
8 breakdown | |
n.垮,衰竭;损坏,故障,倒塌 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
9 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
10 solely | |
adv.仅仅,唯一地 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
11 capability | |
n.能力;才能;(pl)可发展的能力或特性等 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
12 evade | |
vt.逃避,回避;避开,躲避 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
13 continental | |
adj.大陆的,大陆性的,欧洲大陆的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
14 munitions | |
n.军火,弹药;v.供应…军需品 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
15 emeritus | |
adj.名誉退休的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
16 provocative | |
adj.挑衅的,煽动的,刺激的,挑逗的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
17 incremental | |
adj.增加的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
18 overtures | |
n.主动的表示,提议;(向某人做出的)友好表示、姿态或提议( overture的名词复数 );(歌剧、芭蕾舞、音乐剧等的)序曲,前奏曲 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
19 capabilities | |
n.能力( capability的名词复数 );可能;容量;[复数]潜在能力 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
20 isolated | |
adj.与世隔绝的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
21 chronic | |
adj.(疾病)长期未愈的,慢性的;极坏的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|
22 determined | |
adj.坚定的;有决心的 | |
参考例句: |
|
|