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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
As primaries wind down, there are some hints about what's in store for midterms
There are primary elections Tuesday in Florida and New York. A special congressional election in New York could be a fresh indicator2 of which way the fall midterm elections are headed.
STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
A special election for the House may give us clues to what's coming this fall.
RACHEL MARTIN, HOST:
You may know, the closely divided House and Senate are at stake. Republicans are favored to gain, as the party out of power often does. But they are feeling a little bit less optimistic these days. Last week, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell acknowledged what the experts say - it's getting harder to see how his party captures the Senate. It's a little hard to hear this, but listen closely to this clip.
(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)
MITCH MCCONNELL: There's probably a greater likelihood the House flips3 than the Senate. Senate races are just different. They're statewide. Candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome.
MARTIN: He said candidate quality. Republicans have been struggling in states like Pennsylvania and Georgia.
INSKEEP: Where their nominees4 have been much criticized. McConnell also said Republicans have a better chance to win the House. And that special election in New York state this week gives us more information. NPR senior political editor and correspondent Domenico Montanaro is here.
Domenico, good morning.
DOMENICO MONTANARO, BYLINE5: Hey there, Steve.
INSKEEP: OK. Just to be clear, not a primary, although we have some more primaries coming up this week. This is not a primary. It's an open seat. It gets decided6. It's the final final in New York State, outside of New York City, in the Hudson Valley, the Catskills, rural areas, in some urban areas. What should we know about it?
MONTANARO: Well, this is a race between Democrat7 Pat Ryan and Republican Marc Molinaro, both local county executives. It's to fill out a term for Anthony (ph) Delgado, who left Congress to become lieutenant8 governor of the state. It's a measure, really, of which party has the enthusiasm right now in a fairly even-divided district. You know, Trump9 won it in 2016. Biden won it in 2020.
And I often like to look at candidates' ads to see what they're focusing on. These give you a pretty good idea. First, here's an ad from Ryan, who's an Army veteran.
(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #1: He fought for our families, for our freedom.
PAT RYAN: And freedom includes a woman's right to choose. How can we be a free country if the government tries to control women's bodies?
MONTANARO: Meanwhile, Molinaro is focusing on something entirely10 different.
(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING).
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #2: Sky-high gas prices...
(SOUNDBITE OF PERSON YELLING)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #2: ...Rising crime...
(SOUNDBITE OF PERSON YELLING)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #2: ...Runaway11 inflation...
(SOUNDBITE OF PERSON YELLING)
UNIDENTIFIED PERSON #2: ...Joe Biden and Nancy Pelosi are to blame.
MONTANARO: So very dramatic there. But you can hear how this has become a proxy12 fight in the messaging wars on abortion13 rights versus14 inflation, the two big issues that both parties really want to focus on nationally.
INSKEEP: Well, how big an indicator could a special election like this be?
MONTANARO: Well, you never want to overread special elections, but they have been indicators15 in recent years of which party is most fired-up and which way elections that are upcoming are headed. You know, Republicans did well in special elections earlier this cycle, but after the Supreme16 Court overturned Roe17, Democrats18 have overperformed in places like Minnesota and Nebraska. And Democrats are looking to build on their momentum19 after a big win in Kansas on an abortion-related ballot20 measure.
INSKEEP: With all that said, we should be clear. Republicans still have a good chance to win a lot of seats this fall, and we'll see how things turn out. But they've had some difficulty recently. So what is Donald Trump saying about this, particularly given that so many Republican candidates have pledged fealty21 to him?
MONTANARO: Well, we heard that clip from McConnell. And Trump unloaded on McConnell on his social media platform. Trump called him a broken-down hack22 and criticized McConnell's wife, Elaine Chao, who you might remember was Trump's transportation secretary and resigned over his conduct during the January 6 insurrection. And he said that he thought McConnell should spend more time and money helping23 Republican Senate candidates get elected. Ironically, though, it's McConnell's outside group that's tied to him, the Senate Leadership Fund, that's spending some quarter-billion dollars in these elections. And Trump is the one who's spending pretty much nothing to support them. And McConnell-backed aides really feel like Trump has handed them a slate24 of candidates who are weaker, who they need to now try to push over the finish line.
INSKEEP: NPR's Domenico Montanaro. Thanks.
MONTANARO: You're welcome.
1 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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2 indicator | |
n.指标;指示物,指示者;指示器 | |
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3 flips | |
轻弹( flip的第三人称单数 ); 按(开关); 快速翻转; 急挥 | |
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4 nominees | |
n.被提名者,被任命者( nominee的名词复数 ) | |
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5 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
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6 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
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7 democrat | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士;民主党党员 | |
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8 lieutenant | |
n.陆军中尉,海军上尉;代理官员,副职官员 | |
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9 trump | |
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭 | |
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10 entirely | |
ad.全部地,完整地;完全地,彻底地 | |
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11 runaway | |
n.逃走的人,逃亡,亡命者;adj.逃亡的,逃走的 | |
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12 proxy | |
n.代理权,代表权;(对代理人的)委托书;代理人 | |
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13 abortion | |
n.流产,堕胎 | |
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14 versus | |
prep.以…为对手,对;与…相比之下 | |
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15 indicators | |
(仪器上显示温度、压力、耗油量等的)指针( indicator的名词复数 ); 指示物; (车辆上的)转弯指示灯; 指示信号 | |
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16 supreme | |
adj.极度的,最重要的;至高的,最高的 | |
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17 roe | |
n.鱼卵;獐鹿 | |
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18 democrats | |
n.民主主义者,民主人士( democrat的名词复数 ) | |
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19 momentum | |
n.动力,冲力,势头;动量 | |
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20 ballot | |
n.(不记名)投票,投票总数,投票权;vi.投票 | |
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21 fealty | |
n.忠贞,忠节 | |
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22 hack | |
n.劈,砍,出租马车;v.劈,砍,干咳 | |
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23 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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24 slate | |
n.板岩,石板,石片,石板色,候选人名单;adj.暗蓝灰色的,含板岩的;vt.用石板覆盖,痛打,提名,预订 | |
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