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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Beef prices are down right now. But that may not last
Steak prices have decreased as meatpackers processed more beef. But drought-stricken cattle ranchers are having to cut their herds3, which is likely to lead to higher beef prices in the future.
LEILA FADEL, HOST:
Supermarket shoppers are seeing something unusual these days, discounts in the meat department. Steak prices have actually fallen in each of the last three months. But as NPR's Scott Horsley reports, bargain beef may not last.
SCOTT HORSLEY, BYLINE4: My neighborhood Safeway is advertising5 top sirloin this week for 4.99 a pound. Steak prices have come down from a year ago, even as the cost of chicken, pork and most other groceries has gone up. Those falling beef prices are a welcome development for shoppers, but there's a painful story behind them, severe drought that's affecting about 60% of the nation's cattle. Drought-stricken ranchers are being forced to slaughter6 some of their livestock7 early, which means more steak in the supermarket and a temporary drop in prices. Brady Blackett raises Angus beef at the foot of the Wasatch Mountains in south central Utah, where, thanks in part to a changing climate, the winter snowpack has been way down. The grazing land where Blackett's animals spend the summer is bone dry.
BRADY BLACKETT: The cattle have to travel miles and miles each day in, you know, 100-degree weather to get back out to where there's adequate enough forage8. So it's tough. Over the last couple of summers, we've actually had to haul water to the cattle because the springs just aren't producing enough water to keep up.
HORSLEY: Ordinarily Blackett relies on runoff from the mountains to irrigate9 the alfalfa he feeds his cattle in the wintertime. This year, he's having to use groundwater for irrigation. And he knows that's not sustainable.
BLACKETT: It's not looking good for the future unless we're able to get some moisture and pull ourselves out of this drought.
HORSLEY: John O'Dea runs a ranch2 in southwest Nebraska. He didn't even bother planting hay on some of his land this year because he knew it was too dry to grow.
JOHN O'DEA: At our ranch, we've gotten two decent rains in the last 14 months.
HORSLEY: With grain prices also high, ranchers are opting10 to send some of their cattle to slaughter early rather than bear the cost of keeping them fed all winter.
O'DEA: We've liquidated11 part of our cows. And a lot of neighbors have liquidated anywhere from 20 to 60% of their cattle herds to try and get as much to go through the drought as possible.
HORSLEY: That's produced a temporary glut12 of beef and lower prices at the supermarket. But the savings13 for consumers may be short-lived. In a sign of ranchers' desperation, many of the slaughtered14 animals are breeding females, cows and heifers. So Wesley Tucker, who's a field specialist at the University of Missouri Extension, warns the next generation of cattle will be smaller.
WESLEY TUCKER: Life has very few guarantees. But a cow or heifer that is slaughtered this year is guaranteed not to calf15 next year. So that means there's lower animals coming down the line and less beef production in the future.
HORSLEY: Ranchers have lived through this cycle before. A severe drought a decade ago led to a similar downsizing of herds and, ultimately, higher prices. That's an incentive16 for ranchers to try to hang on to at least some of their cattle. But Tucker worries even if beef prices rebound17, it may not be enough to offset18 the rising cost of things like diesel19 fuel and fertilizer.
TUCKER: I don't think the price of a tractor is going to go back down next year just because our weather improves.
HORSLEY: John O'Dea keeps checking the weather forecast at his Nebraska ranch. So far, there's no sign of improvement on the horizon.
O'DEA: Basically, what we're doing now is trying to figure out how we're going to manage for next season because we know this season's a bust20. I would bet that our first moisture will be blizzards21 this winter, the way it's looking right now. It's definitely a struggle (laughter). And we're dang sure not getting rich out here.
HORSLEY: Something to think about when you put that sale-price steak in your shopping cart.
Scott Horsley, NPR News, Washington.
1 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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2 ranch | |
n.大牧场,大农场 | |
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3 herds | |
兽群( herd的名词复数 ); 牧群; 人群; 群众 | |
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4 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
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5 advertising | |
n.广告业;广告活动 a.广告的;广告业务的 | |
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6 slaughter | |
n.屠杀,屠宰;vt.屠杀,宰杀 | |
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7 livestock | |
n.家畜,牲畜 | |
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8 forage | |
n.(牛马的)饲料,粮草;v.搜寻,翻寻 | |
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9 irrigate | |
vt.灌溉,修水利,冲洗伤口,使潮湿 | |
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10 opting | |
v.选择,挑选( opt的现在分词 ) | |
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11 liquidated | |
v.清算( liquidate的过去式和过去分词 );清除(某人);清偿;变卖 | |
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12 glut | |
n.存货过多,供过于求;v.狼吞虎咽 | |
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13 savings | |
n.存款,储蓄 | |
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14 slaughtered | |
v.屠杀,杀戮,屠宰( slaughter的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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15 calf | |
n.小牛,犊,幼仔,小牛皮 | |
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16 incentive | |
n.刺激;动力;鼓励;诱因;动机 | |
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17 rebound | |
v.弹回;n.弹回,跳回 | |
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18 offset | |
n.分支,补偿;v.抵消,补偿 | |
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19 diesel | |
n.柴油发动机,内燃机 | |
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20 bust | |
vt.打破;vi.爆裂;n.半身像;胸部 | |
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21 blizzards | |
暴风雪( blizzard的名词复数 ); 暴风雪似的一阵,大量(或大批) | |
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