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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
How did the employment picture change in the last month?
There are signs the hot U.S. job market cooled off a bit last month. We'll get a temperature check when the Labor2 Department reports on job gains for the month of March.
STEVE INSKEEP, HOST:
The hot U.S. job market is a little less hot. We got a temperature check from the Labor Department this morning which shows that employers added fewer workers in March than they did the month before. NPR's Scott Horsley is here. Scott, good morning.
SCOTT HORSLEY, BYLINE3: Good morning, Steve.
INSKEEP: How much of a slowdown are we talking about?
HORSLEY: Employers added 236,000 jobs in March. That's down about 90,000 from February. We've seen a gradual deceleration since the start of the year, when we had that blockbuster month of hiring. But even with the slowdown, you know, 236,000 is still a pretty solid month for job growth. It's well above the average rate back in 2019, the year before the pandemic. And Nela Richardson, who's chief economist4 at the payroll5 processing company ADP, says, you know, some slowdown is not surprising in an economy that's already added well over 12 million jobs in the last couple of years.
NELA RICHARDSON: Given where we are in the jobs recovery, you would expect to see a lessening6 of job gains. I think the story is, yes, we're finally seeing that downshift.
HORSLEY: Keep in mind, the Federal Reserve has been trying to tap the brakes on the economy by raising interest rates as it tries to control inflation. And you can see the effect of those higher borrowing costs in today's report. Construction, for example, cut about 9,000 jobs last month. That's very interest-rate sensitive. And manufacturing businesses shed about 1,000 jobs.
INSKEEP: Well, given that, why would the Fed want to keep going in this direction?
HORSLEY: Yeah, it seems a little odd, right? Most people think the more jobs you add, the better. But the central bank is worried that the job market has been out of balance. That is, demand for workers is outstripping7 the number of people available to fill those jobs, and that's pushing up wages. Of course, rising wages are good for workers, but they also have the potential to push up prices, especially in labor-intensive industries like restaurants and auto8 repair shops. One way to restore balance would be to have more workers come into the job market. And we are seeing some of that - 480,000 people joined the workforce9 last month, which is very positive. But Wells Fargo economist Sarah House says the Fed would also welcome some slowdown in demand for workers.
SARAH HOUSE: It's uncomfortable when we see the labor market weakened, but given how vexing10 inflation has been over the past two years, if we want to get inflation under control, some softening11 in the labor market is necessary.
HORSLEY: Now, wage gains are slowing down. Average wages in March were 4.2% higher than a year ago. That's down from a 4.6% annual increase the month before.
INSKEEP: Is hiring affected12 at all by the big economic news of last month, the two big banks that failed?
HORSLEY: Yeah, that's not really evident in today's report, which measures employment right around the time that Silicon13 Valley and Signature Banks went under. But the fallout from those bank failures likely will have an impact in the job market in the months to come. You know, other banks have started to get stingier about making loans. That makes it harder and more expensive for businesses to borrow money. And as time goes on, House thinks that will be a drag on hiring.
HOUSE: Overall, you're going to see lenders get a little bit more conservative. We think it's going to contribute to a moderation in payroll growth in the coming months and probably, by the end of this year, looking at some outright14 job losses.
HORSLEY: Some forecasters are warning that it could be that credit tightening15 that tips the U.S. economy into a recession later this year. Of course, employers are keeping an eye on those recession concerns, and that's another reason they might be cautious about bringing on additional workers.
INSKEEP: NPR's Scott Horsley. Thanks, as always.
HORSLEY: You're welcome.
1 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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2 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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3 byline | |
n.署名;v.署名 | |
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4 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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5 payroll | |
n.工资表,在职人员名单,工薪总额 | |
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6 lessening | |
减轻,减少,变小 | |
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7 outstripping | |
v.做得比…更好,(在赛跑等中)超过( outstrip的现在分词 ) | |
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8 auto | |
n.(=automobile)(口语)汽车 | |
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9 workforce | |
n.劳动大军,劳动力 | |
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10 vexing | |
adj.使人烦恼的,使人恼火的v.使烦恼( vex的现在分词 );使苦恼;使生气;详细讨论 | |
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11 softening | |
变软,软化 | |
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12 affected | |
adj.不自然的,假装的 | |
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13 silicon | |
n.硅(旧名矽) | |
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14 outright | |
adv.坦率地;彻底地;立即;adj.无疑的;彻底的 | |
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15 tightening | |
上紧,固定,紧密 | |
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