TED演讲:为什么智能统计数据是打击犯罪的关键(5)

So I decided¹ to focus on using data and analytics to help make the most critical decision in public safety,

所以我决定将重点集中在使用数据和分析，以在公共安全方面帮助作出最关键的判断，

and that decision is the determination of whether, when someone has been arrested,

这一决定是判断已经被逮捕的某个人，

whether they pose a risk to public safety and should be detained,

是否会对公共安全构成风险而被拘留，

or whether they don't pose a risk to public safety and should be released.

还是不会对公共安全造成风险应被释放。

Everything that happens in criminal cases comes out of this one decision.

刑事案件中发生的一切都出自这一决定。

It impacts everything. It impacts sentencing. It impacts whether someone gets drug treatment. It impacts crime and violence.

它影响了全局。它影响了判刑。它影响到是否有人需要药物治疗。它影响了犯罪和暴力行为。

And when I talk to judges around the United States, which I do all the time now,

当我同全美众多法官交谈时，我现在无时无刻不在做这件事，

they all say the same thing, which is that we put dangerous people in jail, and we let non-dangerous, nonviolent people out.

他们都说着同样的话，我们把危险的人关进监狱，把没有危险的人、非暴力的人放出去。

They mean it and they believe it. But when you start to look at the data,

他们是认真的，他们相信自己所做的。但当你开始查看那些数据，

which, by the way, the judges don't have, when we start to look at the data,

顺便提一句，那些法官没看过，当我们开始查看数据，

what we find time and time again, is that this isn't the case.

我们一次又一次的发现，这不是个案。

We find low-risk offenders², which makes up 50 percent of our entire criminal justice population, we find that they're in jail.

我们发现，占刑事司法总人数的50%的低风险罪犯被关在监狱里。

Take Leslie Chew, who was a Texas man who stole four blankets on a cold winter night.

举个例子，莱斯利丘是德克萨斯州人，在一个寒冷的冬夜偷了四个毯子。

He was arrested, and he was kept in jail on 3,500 dollars bail³, an amount that he could not afford to pay.

他被拘捕，然后被关进监狱，需要三千五百美元保释金，这是一笔他支付不起的金额。

And he stayed in jail for eight months until his case came up for trial, at a cost to taxpayers⁴ of more than 9,000 dollars.

他在监狱里呆了八个月，直到他的案子开庭，共花了纳税人9000多美元税款。

And at the other end of the spectrum⁵, we're doing an equally terrible job.

在另一个极端，我们所做的工作也同样糟糕。

The people who we find are the highest-risk offenders,

那些我们抓获的高危险罪犯，

the people who we think have the highest likelihood of committing a new crime if they're released,

那些被认为一旦释放会有极高的可能性再次犯罪的人，

we see nationally that 50 percent of those people are being released.

在全国范围内，其中的50%正在回归社会。

1 decided   

adj.决定了的，坚决的；明显的，明确的

参考例句：

• This gave them a decided advantage over their opponents.这使他们比对手具有明显的优势。
• There is a decided difference between British and Chinese way of greeting.英国人和中国人打招呼的方式有很明显的区别。

2 offenders   

n.冒犯者( offender的名词复数 )；犯规者；罪犯；妨害…的人（或事物）

参考例句：

• Long prison sentences can be a very effective deterrent for offenders. 判处长期徒刑可对违法者起到强有力的威慑作用。
• Purposeful work is an important part of the regime for young offenders. 使从事有意义的劳动是管理少年犯的重要方法。

3 bail   

v.舀（水），保释；n.保证金，保释，保释人

参考例句：

• One of the prisoner's friends offered to bail him out.犯人的一个朋友答应保释他出来。
• She has been granted conditional bail.她被准予有条件保释。

4 taxpayers   

纳税人，纳税的机构( taxpayer的名词复数 )

参考例句：

• Finance for education comes from taxpayers. 教育经费来自纳税人。
• She was declaiming against the waste of the taxpayers' money. 她慷慨陈词猛烈抨击对纳税人金钱的浪费。

5 spectrum   

n.谱，光谱，频谱；范围，幅度，系列

参考例句：

• This is a kind of atomic spectrum.这是一种原子光谱。
• We have known much of the constitution of the solar spectrum.关于太阳光谱的构成，我们已了解不少。