财富精英励志演讲28：巴菲特:决定你成功的因素(4)

 　　Well, that’s a short little sermon.

　　上面我简单地我说了一下我的看法。

　　So Let's get on with what you’re interested in.

　　下面就让我们开始谈谈你们所感兴趣的。

　　And like I say, in go all over.

　　就像我之前说的那样。

　　So, I don’t know exactly how we gotta have this, but let's start with a hand here someplace or other.

　　我不知道接下来怎样进行，那我们从举手示意的同学开始提问题吧。

　　There we go, for the first one...yeah, right here.

　　第一个问题，那个同学。

　　Q： Your thoughts about Japan?

　　问题：您对日本的看法？

　　W: My thoughts about Japan? I am not a macro guy.

　　巴菲特：我对日本的看法？我不是一个太宏观的人。

　　Now I said to myself Berkshire Hathaway can borrow money for 10 years at one percent.

　　我所在的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在日本10年期的贷款利息只有1％。

　　I say gee¹, I took Graham’s class 45 years ago and I have been working hard at this thing all my life.

　　我对自己说，45年前，我上了本杰明.格拉姆的课程，然后我就一直勤勤恳恳，努力工作，

　　Maybe I can earn more than 1% annually². I really work hard at it.

　　也许我应该比1％挣的多点吧？

　　One percent. It doesn’t seem impossible, doesn’t it?

　　看上去那不是不可能的。

　　So I wouldn’t want to get involved in currency risk, so it would have to be Yen-denominated.

　　我不想卷入任何汇率波动的风险，所以我会选择以日元为基准的资产。

　　I would have to be in Japanese Real Estate or Japanese companies or something of the sort and all I have to do is to beat 1%.

　　如地产或企业，必须是日本国内的。我唯一需要做的就是挣得比1％多，

　　That is all the money is going to cost me and I can get it for 10 years.

　　因为那是我资金的成本，十年内我要收回来的。

　　So far I haven’t found anything. It is kind of interesting.

　　可直到现在，我还没有发现一家可以投资的生意。这真的很有趣。

　　The Japanese companies earn very low returns on equity³,

　　日本企业的资产回报率都很低。

　　and they have a bunch of businesses that earn 4%, 5%, 6% on equity

　　他们有少数企业会有4％，5％，或6％的回报。

　　and it is very hard to earn a lot as an investor⁴ when the business you are in doesn’t earn very much money.

　　如果日本企业本身赚不了多少钱的话，那么其资产投资者是很难获得好的回报的。

　　Now some people do it in fact.

　　当然，有一些人也赚了钱。

　　I've got a friend, Walter Schloss, who worked at Graham at the same time I did.

　　我有一个和我同期为本杰明.格拉姆工作过的朋友，他叫沃尔特·施洛斯。

　　And it was the first way I went to stocks to buy stocks selling way below working capital. A very cheap, quantitative⁵ stocks.

　　那是我第一次运用买股票的方法，即寻找那些股票价格远低于流动资本的公司，非常便宜但股票数量有限的公司。

　　I call it the “cigar butt⁶” approach to investing.

　　我管那方法叫雪茄烟蒂投资法。

　　You walk down the street, you look around for a cigar butt someplace.

　　你满地找雪茄烟蒂，

　　And you finally see one and it is soggy and kind of repulsive⁷, but there is one puff⁸ left in it .

　　终于你找到一个湿透了的，令人讨厌的烟蒂，看上去还能抽上一口。

　　So you pick it up and the puff is free.

　　那一口可是免费的。

　　I mean it is a cigar butt stock. I mean you get one free puff on it and then you throw it away and walk down the street and try another one.

　　你把它捡起来，抽上最后一口，然后扔了，接着找下一个。

　　I mean it is not elegant, but it works.

　　这听上去一点都不优雅，但是很有效。

　　If you are looking for a free puff,it works.

　　如果你找的是一口免费的雪茄烟，这方法还值得做。

　　Those are low return businesses.

　　不要做低回报率的生意。

1 gee   

n.马；int.向右！前进！，惊讶时所发声音；v.向右转

参考例句：

• Their success last week will gee the team up.上星期的胜利将激励这支队伍继续前进。
• Gee,We're going to make a lot of money.哇！我们会赚好多钱啦！

2 annually   

adv.一年一次，每年

参考例句：

• Many migratory birds visit this lake annually.许多候鸟每年到这个湖上作短期逗留。
• They celebrate their wedding anniversary annually.他们每年庆祝一番结婚纪念日。

3 equity   

n.公正，公平，（无固定利息的）股票

参考例句：

• They shared the work of the house with equity.他们公平地分担家务。
• To capture his equity,Murphy must either sell or refinance.要获得资产净值，墨菲必须出售或者重新融资。

4 investor   

n.投资者，投资人

参考例句：

• My nephew is a cautious investor.我侄子是个小心谨慎的投资者。
• The investor believes that his investment will pay off handsomely soon.这个投资者相信他的投资不久会有相当大的收益。

5 quantitative   

adj.数量的，定量的

参考例句：

• He said it was only a quantitative difference.他说这仅仅是数量上的差别。
• We need to do some quantitative analysis of the drugs.我们对药物要进行定量分析。

6 butt   

n.笑柄；烟蒂；枪托；臀部；v.用头撞或顶

参考例句：

• The water butt catches the overflow from this pipe.大水桶盛接管子里流出的东西。
• He was the butt of their jokes.他是他们的笑柄。

7 repulsive   

adj.排斥的，使人反感的

参考例句：

• She found the idea deeply repulsive.她发现这个想法很恶心。
• The repulsive force within the nucleus is enormous.核子内部的斥力是巨大的。

8 puff   

n.一口(气)；一阵(风)；v.喷气，喘气

参考例句：

• He took a puff at his cigarette.他吸了一口香烟。
• They tried their best to puff the book they published.他们尽力吹捧他们出版的书。