财富精英励志演讲 第128期:未来的路(3)

 　　And yet, in spite of that, artificial life support has been successful. Barely a year after the bankruptcy¹ of Lehman Brothers, financial markets have stabilized², stock markets have rebounded⁴, and the economy is showing signs recovery. People want to return to business as usual and think of the Crash of 2008 as a bad dream.

　　而尽管如此，人工生命保障系统还是成功地起了作用。在雷曼兄弟破产仅一年时间后，金融市场就稳定下来。股市反弹，经济开始出现复苏迹象。人们想恢复到正常的经济生活中，而把2008年经济崩溃看成是一场噩梦。

　　I regret to tell you that the recovery is liable to out of steam and may even be followed by a "double dip" although I am not sure whether it will be in 2010 or 2011.

　　很遗憾地告诉大家，经济复苏的进程可能会减缓，甚至可能出现“再次衰退”，尽管我还不确定它会发生在2010年还是 2011 年。

　　My views are far from unique but they are at variance⁵ with the prevailing⁶ mood. The longer the turnaround lasts the more people will come to believe in it, but in my judgment⁷, the prevailing mood is far removed from reality. This is characteristic of far-from-equilibrium situations when perceptions tend to lag behind reality. To complicate⁸ matters, the lag works in both directions. Most people have not yet realized that this crisis is different from previous ones — that we are at the end of an era. Others including me failed to anticipate the extent of the rebound³. The confusion is not confined to the financial sphere; it extends to the entire international arena⁹.

　　我的观点绝不是异端，但的确与众不同。周期持续的时间越长，相信它的人就越多。但是，在我看来，大众的想法与现实还是有很大差距的。这正是“远离平衡状态”的典型特征，即认知滞后于现实。更为复杂的是，滞后体现在两个方向。大多数人还没有意识到这次危机不同于以往，没有认识到我们处于一个时代的尾声；而其他人，包括我在内，未能预见到经济反弹的程度。这种混乱状况不仅局限于金融领域，而且还波及整个国际舞台。

1 bankruptcy   

n.破产；无偿付能力

参考例句：

• You will have to pull in if you want to escape bankruptcy.如果你想避免破产，就必须节省开支。
• His firm is just on thin ice of bankruptcy.他的商号正面临破产的危险。

2 stabilized   

v.（使）稳定， （使）稳固( stabilize的过去式和过去分词 )

参考例句：

• The patient's condition stabilized. 患者的病情稳定下来。
• His blood pressure has stabilized. 他的血压已经稳定下来了。 来自《现代英汉综合大词典》

3 rebound   

v.弹回；n.弹回，跳回

参考例句：

• The vibrations accompanying the rebound are the earth quake.伴随这种回弹的振动就是地震。
• Our evil example will rebound upon ourselves.我们的坏榜样会回到我们自己头上的。

4 rebounded   

弹回( rebound的过去式和过去分词 )； 反弹； 产生反作用； 未能奏效

参考例句：

• The ball rebounded from the goalpost and Owen headed it in. 球从门柱弹回，欧文头球将球攻进。
• The ball rebounded from his racket into the net. 球从他的球拍上弹回网中。

5 variance   

n.矛盾，不同

参考例句：

• The question of woman suffrage sets them at variance. 妇女参政的问题使他们发生争执。
• It is unnatural for brothers to be at variance. 兄弟之间不睦是不近人情的。

6 prevailing   

adj.盛行的；占优势的；主要的

参考例句：

• She wears a fashionable hair style prevailing in the city.她的发型是这个城市流行的款式。
• This reflects attitudes and values prevailing in society.这反映了社会上盛行的态度和价值观。

7 judgment   

n.审判；判断力，识别力，看法，意见

参考例句：

• The chairman flatters himself on his judgment of people.主席自认为他审视人比别人高明。
• He's a man of excellent judgment.他眼力过人。

8 complicate   

vt.使复杂化，使混乱，使难懂

参考例句：

• There is no need to complicate matters.没有必要使问题复杂化。
• These events will greatly complicate the situation.这些事件将使局势变得极其复杂。

9 arena   

n.竞技场，运动场所；竞争场所，舞台

参考例句：

• She entered the political arena at the age of 25. 她25岁进入政界。
• He had not an adequate arena for the exercise of his talents.他没有充分发挥其才能的场所。