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美国国家公共电台 NPR How Flawed Science Is Undermining Good Medicine

时间:2017-04-10 05:41来源:互联网 提供网友:nan   字体: [ ]
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    (单词翻译:双击或拖选)

 

DAVID GREENE, HOST:

And you know if NPR had a life-or-death beat, this reporter would definitely be on it.

(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED BROADCAST MONTAGE)

RICHARD HARRIS, BYLINE1: Sepsis is the leading cause of death in the hospital...

Recommend low-dose CT scans to help detect lung cancer.

Researchers at Johns Hopkins are testing out new immunotherapy agents paired with traditional chemotherapy.

GREENE: That is the voice of NPR's Richard Harris. He covers biomedical research, the science that leads to cures and treatments for diseases. It's important stuff. And I had this eye-opening exchange with him in the studio the other day.

So you report on biomedical research a lot. And now you have a book about how much biomedical research is wrong. Are you going back through (laughter) some of your stories and going, uh-oh?

HARRIS: Absolutely, yeah. A lot of what we've reported over the years - and not just us, everybody - a lot of that is actually wrong. It seemed right at the time, but it has not stood up to the test of time.

GREENE: So the title of Richard Harris' new book says it all: "Rigor2 Mortis: How Sloppy3 Science Creates Worthless Cures, Crushes Hope, And Wastes Billions." Richard found a stunning4 lack of rigor in the field he covers. He told me about one researcher at the biotech company Amgen who did something seemingly simple. He tried to replicate5 other people's work.

HARRIS: And he talked about how he had looked at 53 incredibly promising6 studies that could all lead to new drugs. And of those 53, he tried to reproduce them all. And he found that he could only reproduce six. Even...

GREENE: Six of the 53...

HARRIS: Six of 53...

GREENE: ...Could be reproduced.

HARRIS: ...Even with the help, in many cases, of the original scientists who did the studies.

GREENE: All right. There's this problem with reproducibility. Richard also found a culture in which researchers are under enormous pressure. Budget constraints7 mean less funding to go around. And researchers are increasingly driven to publish really quickly, even if it means getting things wrong. And researchers are also making mistakes in the lab, like with mice, that can lead to mistaken conclusions.

One of the things you talk about is - you kind of remind us that there are real people behind these stories. And there was a guy named Tom Murphy - healthy rugby player, I think. He's diagnosed with ALS, Lou Gehrig's disease. Tell me what happens - because he becomes part of an experimental drug program, right?

HARRIS: He does. Yeah. He's diagnosed, and he says - what do I do now? And he goes off to his doctor who says, well, there are a couple of experimental therapies you could try. And he signs up for one of them. It's a drug called Dex. And he's very hopeful, and it seems to be helping8 him. And they run these experiments with Dex. And it turns out that it doesn't work. In fact, none of the ALS drugs worked.

And there's a group in Cambridge, Mass., the ALS Therapy Development Institute, that went back and reviewed all of those studies and realized all the initial studies were wrong. They used very few mice. They weren't taking enough care to think about the genetics of the mice and a lot of other problems. This therapy institute came away with the conclusion that essentially9 none of them really were realistic at all.

GREENE: So this guy in his 50s has this terrible disease and ends up in a drug experiment that probably never should have happened just because scientists sort of farther back during the process were not being careful with the number of mice they were using.

HARRIS: That's right.

GREENE: I was struck because for all of the many problems that you pointed10 out, you know, when it comes to reproducibility, when it comes to making sure you're using, you know, the right number of mice, one of the big problems is that the delight has been taken out of biomedical research. What do you mean by that? And why should we be concerned about that?

HARRIS: Yeah. I think a lot of people go into science out of a sense of wonder. And unfortunately, what happens to all of us - this is not unique to scientists - but what happens in science in particular is people feel the career pressures. And they realize it isn't just about exploring and and having big ideas and so on it's - they have to have research that gives them progress toward their first job, toward tenure11, toward the next grant and so on.

And those pressures are different from just sort of exploring and understanding fundamental biology. And so I talked to a guy named Henry Bourne at UC San Francisco who was mourning the lack of delight in biomedical research as he has witnessed it over the years.

GREENE: And why is delight a good thing to have in this type of research? Why would that make the research better and more reliable?

HARRIS: I think if you're focusing on delight, you're also focusing on the truth, ultimately, because that's what you're after. That's what everyone wants to understand in science. And the less you're focusing on delight, the less maybe you're aiming at the truth and more you are inadvertently, often, aiming at other goals - career goals, financial goals and so on - that may give you a fruitful life as an individual but may produce less of value to us as a society.

GREENE: Richard, how bad is this problem, if you could explain to our listeners? Like, if they hear, you know, tomorrow the latest new biomedical research on something, should they just not trust it? Should they question it? Like, I mean, where are we?

HARRIS: I think it is good to question it. Every time you hear something like this, just remember it's all contingent12. And here is a study, and it may not stand the test of time. I think that's healthy. And I think people intuitively know that. If you say - oh, is coffee good for you or bad for you? - people will say oh, well, just wait a week, and we'll get the other answer.

(LAUGHTER)

HARRIS: So there is an element of that. And I think people understand that. And I think scientists do too. I think scientists, when they read the literature, they realize - oh, probably half of this is wrong. And it's just not knowing which half is the vexing13 part.

GREENE: Well, so your book is coming out when President Trump14 has a budget that he's proposing with significant cuts to the National Institutes of Health. If you're arguing that much of the science is bad, is cutting that budget justified15 in some way?

HARRIS: I suppose you could say if you could identify the wasteful16 projects and you could cut that, that would serve a purpose. But this is not the way it works. What's going to happen if you cut the NIH budget is you're going to shrink that already very small pool of money even smaller. And you're going to increase the competitive pressures. You're going to increase all of these perverse17 incentives18 that have put us in the position where we are to begin with. So I think that it's actually going to be devastating19 to biomedical research if the cuts are anything like President Trump had suggested in his initial push.

GREENE: So you're saying it could be justified if there's actually a way to figure out where the money is being wasted but that that's just not something that's very easy to do.

HARRIS: Right. You know, people don't run around with flags saying - oh, I'm the guy who's not getting it right, you know. And in fact, my book has stories of top scientists, Nobel laureates, who have made mistakes over the years. So you know, it's a very appealing idea, obviously, to say, oh, well, let's just identify the waste and root it out. But it's not the way science works.

GREENE: Pointing out so many problems and flaws in a field that you cover - does that make you any less excited to get up and cover this?

HARRIS: No, I don't. There's still a lot of great science that's going on. What I am shy of doing now is covering the individual studies that come out - that one study or another study, you know, you never really know how strong those are. But the overall trends are really interesting. And, I mean, just the culture of science is fascinating to take a look at and to watch people as they're saying - we have a problem. How are we going to fix it?

GREENE: Richard, thanks a lot.

HARRIS: My pleasure.

(ULRICH SCHNAUSS AND JONAS MUNK'S 'INTERVENTION STJERNER")


点击收听单词发音收听单词发音  

1 byline sSXyQ     
n.署名;v.署名
参考例句:
  • His byline was absent as well.他的署名也不见了。
  • We wish to thank the author of this article which carries no byline.我们要感谢这篇文章的那位没有署名的作者。
2 rigor as0yi     
n.严酷,严格,严厉
参考例句:
  • Their analysis lacks rigor.他们的分析缺乏严谨性。||The crime will be treated with the full rigor of the law.这一罪行会严格依法审理。
3 sloppy 1E3zO     
adj.邋遢的,不整洁的
参考例句:
  • If you do such sloppy work again,I promise I'll fail you.要是下次作业你再马马虎虎,我话说在头里,可要给你打不及格了。
  • Mother constantly picked at him for being sloppy.母亲不断地批评他懒散。
4 stunning NhGzDh     
adj.极好的;使人晕倒的
参考例句:
  • His plays are distinguished only by their stunning mediocrity.他的戏剧与众不同之处就是平凡得出奇。
  • The finished effect was absolutely stunning.完工后的效果非常美。
5 replicate PVAxN     
v.折叠,复制,模写;n.同样的样品;adj.转折的
参考例句:
  • The DNA of chromatin must replicate before cell division.染色质DNA在细胞分裂之前必须复制。
  • It is also easy to replicate,as the next subsection explains.就像下一个小节详细说明的那样,它还可以被轻易的复制。
6 promising BkQzsk     
adj.有希望的,有前途的
参考例句:
  • The results of the experiments are very promising.实验的结果充满了希望。
  • We're trying to bring along one or two promising young swimmers.我们正设法培养出一两名有前途的年轻游泳选手。
7 constraints d178923285d63e9968956a0a4758267e     
强制( constraint的名词复数 ); 限制; 约束
参考例句:
  • Data and constraints can easily be changed to test theories. 信息库中的数据和限制条件可以轻易地改变以检验假设。 来自英汉非文学 - 科学史
  • What are the constraints that each of these imply for any design? 这每种产品的要求和约束对于设计意味着什么? 来自About Face 3交互设计精髓
8 helping 2rGzDc     
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的
参考例句:
  • The poor children regularly pony up for a second helping of my hamburger. 那些可怜的孩子们总是要求我把我的汉堡包再给他们一份。
  • By doing this, they may at times be helping to restore competition. 这样一来, 他在某些时候,有助于竞争的加强。
9 essentially nntxw     
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上
参考例句:
  • Really great men are essentially modest.真正的伟人大都很谦虚。
  • She is an essentially selfish person.她本质上是个自私自利的人。
10 pointed Il8zB4     
adj.尖的,直截了当的
参考例句:
  • He gave me a very sharp pointed pencil.他给我一支削得非常尖的铅笔。
  • She wished to show Mrs.John Dashwood by this pointed invitation to her brother.她想通过对达茨伍德夫人提出直截了当的邀请向她的哥哥表示出来。
11 tenure Uqjy2     
n.终身职位;任期;(土地)保有权,保有期
参考例句:
  • He remained popular throughout his tenure of the office of mayor.他在担任市长的整个任期内都深得民心。
  • Land tenure is a leading political issue in many parts of the world.土地的保有权在世界很多地区是主要的政治问题。
12 contingent Jajyi     
adj.视条件而定的;n.一组,代表团,分遣队
参考例句:
  • The contingent marched in the direction of the Western Hills.队伍朝西山的方向前进。
  • Whether or not we arrive on time is contingent on the weather.我们是否按时到达要视天气情况而定。
13 vexing 9331d950e0681c1f12e634b03fd3428b     
adj.使人烦恼的,使人恼火的v.使烦恼( vex的现在分词 );使苦恼;使生气;详细讨论
参考例句:
  • It is vexing to have to wait a long time for him. 长时间地等他真使人厌烦。 来自《现代英汉综合大词典》
  • Lately a vexing problem had grown infuriatingly worse. 最近发生了一个讨厌的问题,而且严重到令人发指的地步。 来自辞典例句
14 trump LU1zK     
n.王牌,法宝;v.打出王牌,吹喇叭
参考例句:
  • He was never able to trump up the courage to have a showdown.他始终鼓不起勇气摊牌。
  • The coach saved his star player for a trump card.教练保留他的明星选手,作为他的王牌。
15 justified 7pSzrk     
a.正当的,有理的
参考例句:
  • She felt fully justified in asking for her money back. 她认为有充分的理由要求退款。
  • The prisoner has certainly justified his claims by his actions. 那个囚犯确实已用自己的行动表明他的要求是正当的。
16 wasteful ogdwu     
adj.(造成)浪费的,挥霍的
参考例句:
  • It is a shame to be so wasteful.这样浪费太可惜了。
  • Duties have been reassigned to avoid wasteful duplication of work.为避免重复劳动浪费资源,任务已经重新分派。
17 perverse 53mzI     
adj.刚愎的;坚持错误的,行为反常的
参考例句:
  • It would be perverse to stop this healthy trend.阻止这种健康发展的趋势是没有道理的。
  • She gets a perverse satisfaction from making other people embarrassed.她有一种不正常的心态,以使别人难堪来取乐。
18 incentives 884481806a10ef3017726acf079e8fa7     
激励某人做某事的事物( incentive的名词复数 ); 刺激; 诱因; 动机
参考例句:
  • tax incentives to encourage savings 鼓励储蓄的税收措施
  • Furthermore, subsidies provide incentives only for investments in equipment. 更有甚者,提供津贴仅是为鼓励增添设备的投资。 来自英汉非文学 - 环境法 - 环境法
19 devastating muOzlG     
adj.毁灭性的,令人震惊的,强有力的
参考例句:
  • It is the most devastating storm in 20 years.这是20年来破坏性最大的风暴。
  • Affairs do have a devastating effect on marriages.婚外情确实会对婚姻造成毁灭性的影响。
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