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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
To understand where the economy might be heading, we should take a look at where it has been recently. A year ago, our economy, indeed all the world's major economies were reeling from the effects of a devastating1 financial crisis. Policymakers here and abroad had undertaken an extraordinary series of actions aimed at stabilizing2 the financial system and cushioning the economic effects of the crisis. Critically, these policy interventions3 succeeded in averting4 a global financial meltdown that could have plunged5 the world into a second Great Depression. But although a global economic cataclysm6 was averted7, the crisis nevertheless had widespread and severe economic consequences including deep recessions in most of the world's major economies. In the United States, for example, the unemployment rate, which was as low as 4.4 percent in March 2007, currently stands at 10 percent. Recently we've seen some pickup8 in economic activity reflecting, in part, the waning9 of some forces that had been restraining the economy during preceding several quarters.
Economic forecasts are subject to great uncertainty10. But my best guess at this point is that we will continue to see modest growth next year, sufficient to bring down the unemployment rate, but at a pace slower than we would like. A number of factors support the view that the recovery will continue next year. Importantly, financial conditions continue to improve. Corporations are having relatively11 little difficulty raising funds in the bond and stock markets. Stock prices and other asset values have recovered significantly from their lows, and a variety of indicators12 suggest that fears of systemic collapse13 have receded14 substantially. Monetary15 and fiscal16 policies are supportive. And I've already mentioned what appear to be improving conditions in housing, consumer expenditure17, business investment, and global economic activity. On the other hand, the economy confronts some formidable headwinds that seem likely to keep the pace of expansion moderate. Despite the general improvement of the financial conditions, credit remains18 tight for many borrowers, particularly bank-dependent borrowers such as households and small businesses. And the job market, though no longer contracting at the pace we saw in 2008 and earlier this year, remains weak. Household spending is unlikely to grow rapidly when people remain worried about job security and have limited access to credit.
We've played an important part in helping19 to restart the markets for asset-backed securities that finance auto20 loans, credit card loans, small business loans, student loans, loans to finance commercial real estate and other types of credit. By working to revive these markets which allow banks to tap the broader securities markets to finance their lending, we have helped banks make room on their balance sheets for new credit to households and businesses. In addition, we have supported the overall functioning of private credit markets and helped to lower interest rates on bonds, mortgages, and other loans by purchasing unprecedented21 volumes of mortgage-related securities and Treasury22 debt. In all of these efforts, our objective has not been to support specific financial institutions or markets for their own sake. Rather, recognizing that a healthy economy requires well-functioning financial markets, we've moved always with the single aim of promoting economic recovery and economic opportunity. In that respect, our means and goals have been fully23 consistent with the traditional functions of a central bank, and with the mandate24 given to the Federal Reserve by the Congress to promote price stability and maximum employment.
1 devastating | |
adj.毁灭性的,令人震惊的,强有力的 | |
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2 stabilizing | |
n.稳定化处理[退火]v.(使)稳定, (使)稳固( stabilize的现在分词 ) | |
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3 interventions | |
n.介入,干涉,干预( intervention的名词复数 ) | |
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4 averting | |
防止,避免( avert的现在分词 ); 转移 | |
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5 plunged | |
v.颠簸( plunge的过去式和过去分词 );暴跌;骤降;突降 | |
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6 cataclysm | |
n.洪水,剧变,大灾难 | |
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7 averted | |
防止,避免( avert的过去式和过去分词 ); 转移 | |
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8 pickup | |
n.拾起,获得 | |
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9 waning | |
adj.(月亮)渐亏的,逐渐减弱或变小的n.月亏v.衰落( wane的现在分词 );(月)亏;变小;变暗淡 | |
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10 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
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11 relatively | |
adv.比较...地,相对地 | |
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12 indicators | |
(仪器上显示温度、压力、耗油量等的)指针( indicator的名词复数 ); 指示物; (车辆上的)转弯指示灯; 指示信号 | |
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13 collapse | |
vi.累倒;昏倒;倒塌;塌陷 | |
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14 receded | |
v.逐渐远离( recede的过去式和过去分词 );向后倾斜;自原处后退或避开别人的注视;尤指问题 | |
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15 monetary | |
adj.货币的,钱的;通货的;金融的;财政的 | |
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16 fiscal | |
adj.财政的,会计的,国库的,国库岁入的 | |
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17 expenditure | |
n.(时间、劳力、金钱等)支出;使用,消耗 | |
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18 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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19 helping | |
n.食物的一份&adj.帮助人的,辅助的 | |
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20 auto | |
n.(=automobile)(口语)汽车 | |
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21 unprecedented | |
adj.无前例的,新奇的 | |
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22 treasury | |
n.宝库;国库,金库;文库 | |
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23 fully | |
adv.完全地,全部地,彻底地;充分地 | |
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24 mandate | |
n.托管地;命令,指示 | |
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