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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
By Kurt Achin
Seoul
27 July 2006
International trade talks have collapsed2, stalling five years of effort to ease poverty in developing nations by liberalizing global commerce. The impasse3 may mean trade will become more complex and expensive, especially for nations that can least afford it.
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WTO Director General, Pascal Lamy of France, reacts prior to the opening session of the World Trade Organization General Council in Geneva, July 27, 2006
World Trade Organization Director-General Pascal Lamy made it clear there is little hope for a trade deal this year, after key trading powers put negotiations4 on indefinite hold.
"How long a time out? The end of the time out can only come when members are ready to play ball," he said. "But that ball is clearly now in their court."
Since 2001, the members of the World Trade Organization have debated how to achieve the goals set at a conference in Doha, Qatar. The Doha Development Agenda's main aim is to bring the benefits of greater trade to the world's poorest countries.
Just last December, at the WTO ministerial conference in Hong Kong, it appeared differences were narrowing. The United States and the European Union granted more market access to the world's poorest countries, and there was optimism that the framework for a final deal could be reached by the end of April.
But then talks bogged5 down in key areas. First, agriculture: Major agricultural exporters, including some developing nations, wanted rich governments, such as the U.S., the EU and Japan, to open their markets by cutting farm subsidies6 and tariffs7.
But the rich countries could not agree on cuts to farm supports. EU Trade Commissioner8 Peter Mandelson was blunt.
"We do not have in place the once and for all multilateral program of fundamental reform of farm subsidies in the rich world that should be the centerpiece of this round," said Mandelson.
On the other side of things, the EU, the U.S., and other developed countries wanted developing nations, especially growing trade powers such as India and Brazil, to open their markets to imported industrial goods and services.
Indian Commerce Minister Kamal Nath said those demands did not end trade practices in many rich countries that make it harder for poor countries to enter markets.
"We say, correct the distortions. There should be fair trade, not only free trade," he said. "And they say if we get the market access of the kind we want, then we will remove the distortions. There is no equity9 in that."
He says India will now focus its energy on regional and bilateral10 trade agreements.
Trade experts say many countries are likely to do the same. But Keith Rockwell, the WTO's spokesman, says regional and bilateral deals do not address global trade problems.
"Things like agricultural subsidies just won't be addressed. The sort of global network of services agreements that are so important to telecom companies, express delivery companies, insurance companies - that disappears," Rockwell commented.
Smaller trade deals also often overlap11 and conflict and that can make trade more costly12 and cumbersome13, as companies and governments struggle with separate rules for different countries.
Bilateral and regional agreements also have opponents in many countries, who fear a smaller nation may give away too much in the rush to get access to a bigger market. And in many countries, such as South Korea, powerful political constituencies, such as farmers, may keep government leaders from adopting significant trade liberalizations.
Gawain Kripke, a senior trade policy analyst14 with the aid group Oxfam International, says the failure of the Doha round means the poorest countries will lose the leverage15 they have in the WTO There, each country's voice is given equal weight, but in bilateral or regional trade deals, the smallest countries often are ignored.
"For them, there aren't that many options. There's the possibility of bilateral arrangements, but for the poorest countries, there's not that much interest in those markets for rich countries, and therefore, not that much demand for bilateral agreements," added Kripke.
To salvage16 at least part of the Doha agenda, Kripke says aid organizations like his will hold rich countries to their commitments to give greater market access for the world's poorest countries, and to build trade infrastructure17 in the developing world.
Mark Nguyen is an international trade lawyer specializing in Southeast Asia. He notes that elections in the next few years in the United States and other major trading powers may distract politicians from the trade talks.
"Nothing is going to happen until countries come back and agree on moving forward," said Nguyen. "If the political will hasn't been generated enough in the past five years, is it ever going to happen?"
Several trade experts say it is unlikely that there will be much movement on the Doha agenda for two or three years.
For developing nations, eager to sell their goods overseas, trade advocates say the collapse1 of the talks means a missed opportunity to speed economic growth. The World Bank estimated that a successful Doha deal would have boosted global trade by about $100 billion a year - most of which would have gone to developing countries.
1 collapse | |
vi.累倒;昏倒;倒塌;塌陷 | |
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2 collapsed | |
adj.倒塌的 | |
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3 impasse | |
n.僵局;死路 | |
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4 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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5 bogged | |
adj.陷于泥沼的v.(使)陷入泥沼, (使)陷入困境( bog的过去式和过去分词 );妨碍,阻碍 | |
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6 subsidies | |
n.补贴,津贴,补助金( subsidy的名词复数 ) | |
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7 tariffs | |
关税制度; 关税( tariff的名词复数 ); 关税表; (旅馆或饭店等的)收费表; 量刑标准 | |
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8 commissioner | |
n.(政府厅、局、处等部门)专员,长官,委员 | |
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9 equity | |
n.公正,公平,(无固定利息的)股票 | |
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10 bilateral | |
adj.双方的,两边的,两侧的 | |
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11 overlap | |
v.重叠,与…交叠;n.重叠 | |
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12 costly | |
adj.昂贵的,价值高的,豪华的 | |
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13 cumbersome | |
adj.笨重的,不便携带的 | |
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14 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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15 leverage | |
n.力量,影响;杠杆作用,杠杆的力量 | |
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16 salvage | |
v.救助,营救,援救;n.救助,营救 | |
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17 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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