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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
Alan Boswell | Nairobi 17 December 2009
Photo: AP
A woman from Misseriya tribe is building a thatched shelter in Goli, Sudan, during the annual migration1 to the Abyei area, 19 Jan 2009
"We're in the end game of the CPA now, which is why we are getting this increased tension, because we have very little time left to implement2 it - when you look at the legislation that has to be passed, but also when you look at the simple logistics."
In early December, crowds gathered outside the police station in Khartoum to protest the detention3 of senior Southern party officials. The South's ruling party, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement, had organized a political rally with Northern opposition4 groups. Khartoum authorities beat the demonstrators back, declaring the protest "illegal".
Offices of the North's ruling National Congress Party were attacked across parts of the South. Southern civil society and religious groups soon issued statements expressing concern that the peace was beginning to crumble5. Observers feared the incident was a turning point in the deterioration6 of relations between the peace partners.
One week later, the two parties announced what was arguably their most important breakthrough of the year - reaching a compromise on the details of the upcoming Southern independence referendum. The deadlocked7 talks about this prized self-determination right for the South had been at the heart of rising tensions between the two sides for months.
The week's events highlighted the innate8 fragility of the North-South peace, but the referendum deal also gave hope that the path to peaceful co-existence has yet to be fully9 abandoned by either side.
This past year has seen frequent heated exchanges between the two peace partners, with the NCP accusing the South of not being committed to giving national unity10 a chance and the SPLM alleging11 the NCP of acting12 in bad faith towards the agreement.
NCP official Rabi Abdulaati told VOA that any accusation13 that the NCP was seeking to undermine the peace deal was false.
"The National Congress Party is fully committed to implement the CP, and it is fully committed also to abide14 by the mechanisms15 for resolution of any conflict between the two parties regarding any pending16 points," he said.
However, in an interview in the Southern capital, Juba, the head of SPLM's Southern office, Anne Itto, said that the manner in which negotiations17 have been stalled and the timetable of the CPA pushed back shows that NCP is not acting as a committed peace partner.
"If you follow the Comprehensive Peace Agreement, this [referendum] law should have been out over a year ago. And, indeed we started negotiating, trying to get the bill ready for the parliament, before a year ago. It took us a very very long time," she said.
The delayed pace in implementing18 the peace deal was evidenced in early April, as elections originally slated19 for July 2009 were pushed back to February 2010. A little less than three months later, the elections were pushed back an additional two months, to April of this coming year.
But the year did see one critical flashpoint roll by peacefully. In late July, the Permanent Court of Arbitration20 at The Hague issued a compromise ruling about the disputed oil-rich border region, Abyei. Although the tension in Abyei continues to simmer, feared clashes about a final ruling did not materialize, as both sides voiced acceptance for the verdict.
Looking back, Sudanese analyst21 John Ashworth says that, taken altogether, the previous year's developments have done little to bolster22 the peace.
"I wouldn't like to say there is no reason for hope - I think there is always reason for hope - but I would say there has not been much progress," he said.
The year ahead is fraught23 with challenges. The April elections are causing increased friction24, as the SPLM publicly mulls an alliance with northern opposition groups against the NCP. And, the Khartoum government appears to be digging in its heels against calls to reform security laws to allow a free and fair vote.
But analysts25 say the elections, volatile26 as they may be, are only a sideshow to the main act. The Southern independence referendum is the key cornerstone of the CPA and the North is unlikely to let the oil-ladened South go without some intense negotiations. These, too, are behind schedule.
Ashworth says that, at this point, any positive outcome in the next year will require the two parties to re-focus their energies on only the most crucial points of remaining contention27.
"We're in the end game of the CPA now, which is why we are getting this increased tension, because we have very little time left to implement it - when you look at the legislation that has to be passed, but also when you look at the simple logistics. In fact it's impossible to implement the entire CPA in the time given, so much is behind schedule," he added.
With the alternative of renewed war looming28, most Sudanese hope that 2010 will prove the CPA has greater resilience than many expect.
1 migration | |
n.迁移,移居,(鸟类等的)迁徙 | |
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2 implement | |
n.(pl.)工具,器具;vt.实行,实施,执行 | |
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3 detention | |
n.滞留,停留;拘留,扣留;(教育)留下 | |
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4 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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5 crumble | |
vi.碎裂,崩溃;vt.弄碎,摧毁 | |
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6 deterioration | |
n.退化;恶化;变坏 | |
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7 deadlocked | |
陷入僵局的;僵持不下的 | |
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8 innate | |
adj.天生的,固有的,天赋的 | |
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9 fully | |
adv.完全地,全部地,彻底地;充分地 | |
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10 unity | |
n.团结,联合,统一;和睦,协调 | |
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11 alleging | |
断言,宣称,辩解( allege的现在分词 ) | |
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12 acting | |
n.演戏,行为,假装;adj.代理的,临时的,演出用的 | |
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13 accusation | |
n.控告,指责,谴责 | |
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14 abide | |
vi.遵守;坚持;vt.忍受 | |
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15 mechanisms | |
n.机械( mechanism的名词复数 );机械装置;[生物学] 机制;机械作用 | |
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16 pending | |
prep.直到,等待…期间;adj.待定的;迫近的 | |
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17 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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18 implementing | |
v.实现( implement的现在分词 );执行;贯彻;使生效 | |
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19 slated | |
用石板瓦盖( slate的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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20 arbitration | |
n.调停,仲裁 | |
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21 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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22 bolster | |
n.枕垫;v.支持,鼓励 | |
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23 fraught | |
adj.充满…的,伴有(危险等)的;忧虑的 | |
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24 friction | |
n.摩擦,摩擦力 | |
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25 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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26 volatile | |
adj.反复无常的,挥发性的,稍纵即逝的,脾气火爆的;n.挥发性物质 | |
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27 contention | |
n.争论,争辩,论战;论点,主张 | |
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28 looming | |
n.上现蜃景(光通过低层大气发生异常折射形成的一种海市蜃楼)v.隐约出现,阴森地逼近( loom的现在分词 );隐约出现,阴森地逼近 | |
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