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Top US, Russian Diplomats1 to Discuss Syria 美俄外交家将讨论叙利亚问题
LONDON — U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry will meet Thursday with his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov in Geneva, to discuss a new initiative that could end the threat of U.S. airstrikes against Syria. This after a casual comment by the secretary about Syria’s chemical weapons led Lavrov to go public with an idea the U.S. and Russia had talked about privately2. But experts question whether this is a real breakthrough, or if Syria and its ally Russia will use diplomacy3 to divert attention from the alleged4 large-scale chemical weapons attack last month.
It was at a news conference Monday in London when a reporter asked Secretary Kerry whether there was anything Syria could do to avoid an attack.
“Sure, he can turn over every single bit of his chemical weapons to the international community in the next week," he said. "Turn it over, all of it.”
But the secretary immediately made clear he was speaking theoretically and did not expect anything like that to happen.
“But he is not about to do it," he said. "And it can not be done, obviously.”
Or can it? The Russian foreign minister saw an opportunity in the secretary’s remark, welcoming it at a Moscow news conference. His Syrian counterpart said Damascus might go along.
"I am authorized5 to confirm our support for the Russian initiative concerning the chemical weapons in Syria,” said Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem.
It was a startling 24 hours. But were the Syrians and Russians truly embracing the plan, or are they stalling for time?
International security expert Joanna Kidd, of London’s King’s College, says Syria relies on its chemical weapons as a pillar of its defense6, and it would be reluctant to truly give them up.
“It is a job that would take several months to do," she said. "And of course, one should not forget that obviously there is a civil war going on in Syria that would greatly complicate7 the process.”
That war has been raging for two-and-a-half years. But it was the alleged chemical weapons attack last month, which the United States says it can prove was ordered by senior Syrian officials, that led to President Barack Obama’s threat to launch airstrikes, and now the Russian and Syrian effort to avoid them.
Paul Schulte, a London-based chemical weapons analyst8 of the Carnegie Endowment, says a chemical attack should result in a strong international response, and he’s not sure if the Russian approach will suffice.
“The Russian plan, which might be a wild card or might be a game-changer, is still very unclear, and there is a lot of skepticism about whether it could ever work,” he said.
The Organization for the Prohibition9 of Chemical Weapons, in The Hague, could provide inspectors10 to verify new controls on Syria’s chemical weapons. But there may not be enough of them, and they may not be willing to work in the middle of a civil war.
It could take months to negotiate the details, while the civil war rages on, and the potential for U.S. airstrikes looms11. But as long as Russia is championing Syria’s new talk of joining the global ban on chemical weapons, the Damascus government may find it difficult to use them again.
1 diplomats | |
n.外交官( diplomat的名词复数 );有手腕的人,善于交际的人 | |
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2 privately | |
adv.以私人的身份,悄悄地,私下地 | |
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3 diplomacy | |
n.外交;外交手腕,交际手腕 | |
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4 alleged | |
a.被指控的,嫌疑的 | |
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5 authorized | |
a.委任的,许可的 | |
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6 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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7 complicate | |
vt.使复杂化,使混乱,使难懂 | |
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8 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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9 prohibition | |
n.禁止;禁令,禁律 | |
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10 inspectors | |
n.检查员( inspector的名词复数 );(英国公共汽车或火车上的)查票员;(警察)巡官;检阅官 | |
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11 looms | |
n.织布机( loom的名词复数 )v.隐约出现,阴森地逼近( loom的第三人称单数 );隐约出现,阴森地逼近 | |
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