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WASHINGTON, March 27 (Xinhua) -- The U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said Friday that she expected an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate to be warranted later this year, and the pace for the rate hike would likely be gradual.
In a speech prepared for a research conference sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Yellen said most of the Fed officials believed the appropriate time to begin the rate hike has not yet arrived, but they expected that conditions may warrant an increase sometime this year.
U.S. economy has recovered from the financial crisis at a slow pace, but there has been significant cumulative1 progress. The unemployment rate has fallen to 5.5 percent now from 10 percent at its peak; consumer spending remains2 robust3 thanks to strong labor4 market and low energy prices.
U.S. Fed to start rate hike this year but at gradual pace: Yellen
Yellen expected the real gross domestic product likely to expand faster than its potential in coming quarters, thereby5 promoting further gains in employment and declines in the unemployment rate.
But the central banker also pointed6 out some headwinds for the economy. Involuntary part-time employment remains high; labor force participation7 is still lower than expected; wage growth continues to be subdued8; dollar appreciation9 appears to be restraining net exports; low oil prices are prompting a cutback in driving activity; and the recovery in residential10 construction remains subdued.
Inflation, an indicator11 for Fed in deciding monetary12 policy, has been below the central bank's 2 percent target for years. The weakness in inflation likely reflects continuing slack in labor and product markets, as well as the sharp decline in energy prices.
With labor markets continuing to improve further, the inflation will gradually move up, Yellen said. According to the chairperson, Fed official anticipated that a rather gradual rise in the interest rate will be appropriate over the next few years, as the headwinds holding back growth are likely to continue to abate13 gradually.
Yellen also stressed the pace of rate hike will not follow a set schedule. Instead, the actual path of policy will evolve as economic conditions evolve and policy tightening14 could speed up, slow down, pause or even reverse course depending on economic developments, she said.
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1 cumulative | |
adj.累积的,渐增的 | |
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2 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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3 robust | |
adj.强壮的,强健的,粗野的,需要体力的,浓的 | |
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4 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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5 thereby | |
adv.因此,从而 | |
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6 pointed | |
adj.尖的,直截了当的 | |
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7 participation | |
n.参与,参加,分享 | |
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8 subdued | |
adj. 屈服的,柔和的,减弱的 动词subdue的过去式和过去分词 | |
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9 appreciation | |
n.评价;欣赏;感谢;领会,理解;价格上涨 | |
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10 residential | |
adj.提供住宿的;居住的;住宅的 | |
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11 indicator | |
n.指标;指示物,指示者;指示器 | |
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12 monetary | |
adj.货币的,钱的;通货的;金融的;财政的 | |
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13 abate | |
vi.(风势,疼痛等)减弱,减轻,减退 | |
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14 tightening | |
上紧,固定,紧密 | |
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15 slashed | |
v.挥砍( slash的过去式和过去分词 );鞭打;割破;削减 | |
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