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Inflation dips in November, as gasoline savings1 eclipse grocery price increases
Americans are saving money at the gas pump, only to spend it in the produce aisle3.
Gasoline and grocery prices moved in opposite directions last month, as the overall inflation rate declined slightly. Consumer prices in November were up 7.1% from a year ago, compared to an annual increase of 7.7% the month before.
It was the smallest 12-month increase since December of last year.
The inflation figures were released Tuesday by the Labor4 Department, just as the Federal Reserve prepares to raise interest rates for the seventh time in nine months on Wednesday.
Stock market surges after inflation report shows the pain of high prices may ease
ECONOMY
Stock market surges after inflation report shows the pain of high prices may ease
For a year, Americans have seen racing5 inflation eat away at their savings and add to their credit card debt. A key source of pain was costly6 gasoline.
But gasoline prices dropped 2% between October and November and gas is now selling for less than it was a year ago, before Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
As fuel prices fall, however, food prices have been climbing. Grocery prices rose 0.5% in November, led by a whopping 8.9% jump in the price of lettuce7.
"I've never seen it like this," said Brian Guarino, a produce distributor outside Philadelphia.
A wholesale8 box of romaine lettuce that typically sells for $25 to $30 on the east coast is costing up to $100, as a result of growing problems in California and high transportation costs.
"You can't put lettuce on a hoagie and expect not to put an upcharge on it, when you're paying $100 for 24 heads of lettuce," Guarino said.
An insect-borne virus curbed9 lettuce production in the Salinas Valley this fall. And while gasoline prices have tumbled, the diesel10 fuel used to truck vegetables still costs nearly $5 a gallon.
While food and energy prices are notoriously volatile11, the prices of many other goods appear to be stabilizing12. Used car prices fell 2.9% between October and November, while new car prices were flat.
"It is far too early to declare goods inflation vanquished," Fed chairman Jerome Powell said two weeks ago, about the stabilization13. "But if current trends continue, goods prices should begin to exert downward pressure on overall inflation in coming months."
People are getting roommates and, in turn, easing housing inflation
Likewise, there are signs that housing inflation has begun to ease. Rents are still rising much faster than they were before the pandemic, but not at the breakneck pace they were in the spring.
Shelter costs rose 0.6% in November, down from 0.8% the month before.
The average cost of renting a single-family home in April was nearly 14% higher than a year earlier, according to CoreLogic, a housing data company. By September, the annual increase had dropped to around 10%, partly because of softening14 demand.
"People are now, as a result of high rent, doubling up again, so we're seeing an increase in the number of people moving in with roommates," said CoreLogic economist15 Selma Hepp.
"There's still some ways to go," Hepp said, adding that she expects "very fast deceleration over the next year."
Rents are reflected only gradually in the official inflation data, so the slowdown in housing costs is not yet fully16 evident in the consumer price index.
Still, Powell described the real-time reports from the rental17 industry as encouraging, with inflation in new leases falling.
"We would expect housing services inflation to begin falling sometime next year," Powell said.
Wages still pose an inflation threat
The Fed chairman is less confident about the price of services, which includes everything from restaurant meals to haircuts and which is largely driven by the cost of labor.
Wages have been rising at a rapid rate, and Powell worries that could keep inflation stubbornly high.
"Despite some promising18 developments, we have a long way to go in restoring price stability," he said.
Fed policymakers are meeting this week, and they're widely expected to raise interest rates by another half percentage point, in an effort to tamp19 down demand and bring prices under control.
Interest rates have already risen from near zero in March to nearly 4%. Powell warned rates are likely to climb higher and stay up longer, adding that history cautions against easing up on the fight against inflation too soon.
1 savings | |
n.存款,储蓄 | |
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2 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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3 aisle | |
n.(教堂、教室、戏院等里的)过道,通道 | |
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4 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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5 racing | |
n.竞赛,赛马;adj.竞赛用的,赛马用的 | |
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6 costly | |
adj.昂贵的,价值高的,豪华的 | |
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7 lettuce | |
n.莴苣;生菜 | |
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8 wholesale | |
n.批发;adv.以批发方式;vt.批发,成批出售 | |
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9 curbed | |
v.限制,克制,抑制( curb的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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10 diesel | |
n.柴油发动机,内燃机 | |
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11 volatile | |
adj.反复无常的,挥发性的,稍纵即逝的,脾气火爆的;n.挥发性物质 | |
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12 stabilizing | |
n.稳定化处理[退火]v.(使)稳定, (使)稳固( stabilize的现在分词 ) | |
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13 Stabilization | |
稳定化 | |
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14 softening | |
变软,软化 | |
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15 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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16 fully | |
adv.完全地,全部地,彻底地;充分地 | |
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17 rental | |
n.租赁,出租,出租业 | |
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18 promising | |
adj.有希望的,有前途的 | |
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19 tamp | |
v.捣实,砸实 | |
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