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(单词翻译:双击或拖选)
The big reason why the U.S. is seeking the toughest-ever rules for vehicle emissions1
The Environmental Protection Agency is proposing its most ambitious new regulations yet for cutting pollution from vehicles.
The overarching goal is not just cleaner cars, but the transformation3 of the auto4 industry: The EPA would essentially5 impose regulatory penalties on companies that do not move quickly enough toward electric cars.
The new standards are so strict that, according to the EPA's estimates, up to 67% of new vehicles sold in 2032 may have to be electric in order for carmakers to be in compliance7.
EPA Administrator8 Michael Regan says the proposed standards would eliminate 7.3 billion tons of CO2, equivalent to four years worth of the entire U.S. transportation sector9, and save lives through reduced air pollution.
He promised the EPA will work closely with labor10, the auto industry and green groups to "usher11 in a new generation" of clean cars.
"We're going to envision and innovate12 and achieve this future together," he said during a call with reporters. "It is well within our grasp. Make no mistake about it."
Margo Oge, a former EPA official and the chair of the board of the International Council on Clean Transportation, called the regulations "the single most important regulatory initiative by the Biden administration ... to really reduce the worst impacts of climate change."
"The administration is going to make history — if indeed, at the end of the day, they finalize13 these ambitious standards," she said in a press conference arranged by the Environmental Defense14 Fund, an advocacy group.
Before they are finalized15, the proposed standards (which include several alternative options) will be open for public comment. They may be revised before they enter into effect. EPA has also proposed new standards for medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks.
Here's what to know about the proposal.
What do the standards require?
These proposed standards cover the pollution from vehicle tailpipes — including air pollution that is directly damaging to human health, as well as the greenhouse gases that are fueling catastrophic climate change.
They are separate from the fuel economy standards set by the federal government; new proposals for those rules are expected soon. These are also separate from — and designed differently than — the zero-emission vehicle mandates16 adopted in California and some other states.
The EPA is not proposing to directly require that 67% of vehicles be zero-emission by 2032.
Instead, it sets a standard for emissions, on average, based on the size and type of vehicle being built. The agency says those new rules are so stringent17 that it believes companies will need to produce 67% zero-emission vehicles to meet them.
But technically18, if automakers came up with another way to meet the rules, they could; the policy is "technology-neutral."
The new proposed standards would require just 82 grams/mile, on average across a company's production, by model year 2032. That's a 56% reduction from the 2026 target.
Exactly one automaker could meet that standard today: Tesla.
Isn't the auto industry already going electric?
Yes, automakers are already executing a remarkable19 shift toward electric vehicles, spending hundreds of billions of dollars on new battery plants and production lines.
And the plans companies had already announced were fairly eye-popping.
Ford20 — which sold 61,575 EVs last year — aims to build 600,000 per year by the end of 2023.
General Motors plans to build a million per year by 2025, an aggressive move from the 39,096 EVs it sold last year.
These are all numbers for the North American market, not counting the huge Chinese EV market.
However, companies have different timelines for when they planned to go electric, and many were not publicly planning on being anywhere close to two-thirds electric in the U.S. by 2032.
A number of automakers had balked21 at President Biden's previously22 announced target of having 50% of new cars sold by 2030 be made up of EVs. The EPA proposal is more ambitious — and, unlike that target, it would come with regulatory teeth if it was adopted.
In addition to new rules for cars, trucks and SUVs, the EPA is also proposing standards for medium-duty vehicles, like delivery trucks, and heavy-duty vehicles, like tractor-trailers. If finalized, the EPA predicts these would lead to 50% of buses and 25% of long-haul tractor trailers being electric by 2032.
How will this affect car shoppers?
Some analysts23 and industry voices are crying foul24, saying the EPA is moving unreasonably25 quickly and would hurt consumers.
The EPA estimates that complying with the proposed rules would add $633 to the cost of making a vehicle in 2027 and about $1,200 per vehicle in 2032.
But drivers would overall save money because EVs are cheaper to operate, the EPA's analysis found. Car buyers may also benefit from tax credits of up to $7,500.
Overall, the EPA calculates the rules would save the U.S. between $850 billion and $1.6 trillion, including reduced climate change impacts and improvements to health.
Are these rules feasible to implement26?
The EPA maintains the rules can be feasibly met, thanks to improving technology and to significant government support for electric vehicles — including loans, grants and tax credits for companies building batteries and electric vehicles, as well as tax credits for consumers buying them.
And it's certainly true the Biden administration offered many carrots to persuade the auto industry to go electric, in addition to this regulatory stick.
But the auto industry emphasizes that the shift toward electric vehicles requires multiple, simultaneous transformations27, including some outside their control.
It's not currently clear if the world can mine enough minerals or build enough batteries quickly enough to satisfy automakers' existing production plans, let alone accelerated ones.
Charging infrastructure28 needs to be built out, as well as the power generation to supply those chargers. Drivers — huge swathes of them, not just a small percentage of enthusiasts29 or the particularly eco-conscious — would need to embrace a shift away from gas stations and towards chargers.
What's next?
The proposed regulations will be open for comment, and car makers6 will likely be very vocal30 about expressing what they consider they can actually achieve over the next decade.
The proposed rules are also very likely to face a backlash. Republican states, led by Texas, have already sued the EPA over the current version of these vehicle standards, arguing that the body overstepped its authority in crafting those rules with an eye to EV adoption31.
And those standards are significantly less ambitious than the rules proposed today.
Notably32, the Alliance for Automotive Innovation, the trade group for major automakers, has defended the EPA's right to set those standards, saying nobody questions the future is electric.
"However this litigation concludes," the group said in a legal filing, "widespread vehicle electrification33 is inevitable34."
1 emissions | |
排放物( emission的名词复数 ); 散发物(尤指气体) | |
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2 transcript | |
n.抄本,誊本,副本,肄业证书 | |
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3 transformation | |
n.变化;改造;转变 | |
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4 auto | |
n.(=automobile)(口语)汽车 | |
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5 essentially | |
adv.本质上,实质上,基本上 | |
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6 makers | |
n.制造者,制造商(maker的复数形式) | |
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7 compliance | |
n.顺从;服从;附和;屈从 | |
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8 administrator | |
n.经营管理者,行政官员 | |
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9 sector | |
n.部门,部分;防御地段,防区;扇形 | |
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10 labor | |
n.劳动,努力,工作,劳工;分娩;vi.劳动,努力,苦干;vt.详细分析;麻烦 | |
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11 usher | |
n.带位员,招待员;vt.引导,护送;vi.做招待,担任引座员 | |
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12 innovate | |
v.革新,变革,创始 | |
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13 finalize | |
v.落实,定下来 | |
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14 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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15 finalized | |
vt.完成(finalize的过去式与过去分词形式) | |
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16 mandates | |
托管(mandate的第三人称单数形式) | |
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17 stringent | |
adj.严厉的;令人信服的;银根紧的 | |
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18 technically | |
adv.专门地,技术上地 | |
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19 remarkable | |
adj.显著的,异常的,非凡的,值得注意的 | |
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20 Ford | |
n.浅滩,水浅可涉处;v.涉水,涉过 | |
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21 balked | |
v.畏缩不前,犹豫( balk的过去式和过去分词 );(指马)不肯跑 | |
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22 previously | |
adv.以前,先前(地) | |
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23 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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24 foul | |
adj.污秽的;邪恶的;v.弄脏;妨害;犯规;n.犯规 | |
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25 unreasonably | |
adv. 不合理地 | |
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26 implement | |
n.(pl.)工具,器具;vt.实行,实施,执行 | |
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27 transformations | |
n.变化( transformation的名词复数 );转换;转换;变换 | |
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28 infrastructure | |
n.下部构造,下部组织,基础结构,基础设施 | |
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29 enthusiasts | |
n.热心人,热衷者( enthusiast的名词复数 ) | |
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30 vocal | |
adj.直言不讳的;嗓音的;n.[pl.]声乐节目 | |
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31 adoption | |
n.采用,采纳,通过;收养 | |
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32 notably | |
adv.值得注意地,显著地,尤其地,特别地 | |
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33 electrification | |
n.充电,电气化;起电;电化;带电 | |
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34 inevitable | |
adj.不可避免的,必然发生的 | |
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