异类之不一样的成功启示录 第14期:铁的规律

 　　Barnsley went home at night,

　　回家之后的那个晚上，

　　and looked at the birth dates of as many professional hockey players as he could find.

　　巴恩斯利尽可能地收集了许多职业曲棍球运动员的出生日期，

　　He saw the same pattern.

　　结果他发现了同样的规律。

　　Barnsley, his wife, and a colleague, A. H. Thompson, then gathered statistics

　　于是，巴恩斯利、他的妻子和他的一位同事一起

　　on every player in the Ontario Junior Hocky League.

　　对安大略青少年曲棍球联赛的所有球员进行统计分析，

　　The story was the same.

　　得到的结果还是如此：

　　More players were born in January

　　1月份出生的球员在人数上

　　than in any other month,

　　远远超过其他月份出生的球员。

　　and by a overwhelming margin¹.

　　占有压倒性优势。

　　The second most frequent birth month? February.

　　排在第二位的呢？2月份。

　　The third? March.

　　第三位的呢？3月份。

　　Barnsley found that there were nearly five and a half times as many Ontario Hocky League players born in January

　　巴恩斯利发现，在安大略曲棍球联赛中，

　　as were born in the end of the year, in November.

　　1月份出生的球员人数几乎是年末12月份出生球员人数的5.5倍。

　　He looked at the all-star teams of eleven-year-olds and thirteen-year-olds,

　　巴恩斯利又调查了著名球队中所有11岁和13岁的球员

　　the young players selected for elite² traveling squads³. Same story.

　　这些球员将来是巡回赛的中坚力量，结果依旧如此。

　　He looked at the composition of the National Hockey League. Same story.

　　他又调查了曲棍球国家队，结果仍旧毫不例外。

　　The more he looked, the more Barnsley came to believe that what he was seeing was not a chance of occurance

　　越是调查，巴恩斯利越是相信，他发现的现象绝非偶然，

　　but an iron law of Canadian Hockey:

　　而是加拿大曲棍球运动一项铁的规律：

　　that anytime you look at a league group of hockey players, the very best of the best,

　　如果你观察曲棍球运动的那些佼佼者，那些卓越者中的卓越者

　　you could reliably assume that 40 percent of the players were born tween January and March,

　　无论何时，你都能够发现，1月至3月出生的球员比例为40%，

　　30 percent between April and June,

　　4月至6月出生的球员比例为30%,

　　20 percent between July and September,

　　7月至9月出生的球员比例为20%，

　　and 10 percent between October and December.

　　10月至12月出生的球员比例为10%。

　　"In all my years in psychology⁴, I have never run into an effect this large," Barnsley says.

　　“我从事心理学研究许多年，还从来没有看到过这样明显的例子，”巴恩斯利说，

　　"You don't even need to do any statistical⁵ analysis, you just look at it."

　　“你用不着去作统计分析，瞧一下就知道。”

　　What would you have seen if you look at that Medicine Hat roster⁶?

　　回顾梅迪辛哈特猛虎队的例子，你是否发现，

　　Seventeen out of the twenty five players on the team

　　25名球员中，

　　were born in January, February, March, or April.

　　有17名球员出生在1月份、2月份、3月份或者是4月份。

　　Here is the play-by-play for the first two goals in the Memorial Cup final,

　　以下是纪念杯赛决赛前面两个进球的现场解说，

　　only this time I've substituted the players birthdays for their names.

　　只不过这次,我用球员的生日代替了球员的名字。

　　It no longer sounds like the championship of Canadian junior hockey.

　　结果，这段解说的内容听起来不再像是加拿大青少年曲棍球冠军争夺战，

　　It now sounds like a strange sporting ritual

　　反倒像是一群有着星座符号，

　　for teenage boys born under the astrologic signs Capricorn, Aquarius, and Pisces.

　　出生在摩羯座、宝瓶座和双鱼座时段的青少年，进行的一场陌生的体育宗教典礼活动。

1 margin   

n.页边空白；差额；余地，余裕；边，边缘

参考例句：

• We allowed a margin of 20 minutes in catching the train.我们有20分钟的余地赶火车。
• The village is situated at the margin of a forest.村子位于森林的边缘。

2 elite   

n.精英阶层；实力集团；adj.杰出的，卓越的

参考例句：

• The power elite inside the government is controlling foreign policy.政府内部的一群握有实权的精英控制着对外政策。
• We have a political elite in this country.我们国家有一群政治精英。

3 squads   

n.（军队中的）班( squad的名词复数 )；（暗杀）小组；体育运动的运动（代表）队；（对付某类犯罪活动的）警察队伍

参考例句：

• Anti-riot squads were called out to deal with the situation. 防暴队奉命出动以对付这一局势。 来自辞典例句
• Three squads constitute a platoon. 三个班组成一个排。 来自辞典例句

4 psychology   

n.心理，心理学，心理状态

参考例句：

• She has a background in child psychology.她受过儿童心理学的教育。
• He studied philosophy and psychology at Cambridge.他在剑桥大学学习哲学和心理学。

5 statistical   

adj.统计的，统计学的

参考例句：

• He showed the price fluctuations in a statistical table.他用统计表显示价格的波动。
• They're making detailed statistical analysis.他们正在做具体的统计分析。

6 roster   

n.值勤表，花名册

参考例句：

• The teacher checked the roster to see whom he would teach this year.老师查看花名册，想了解今年要教的学生。
• The next day he put himself first on the new roster for domestic chores.第二天，他把自己排在了新的家务值日表的第一位。