巴西总统可能在第一轮赢得连任

 巴西总统可能在第一轮赢得连任

　　RIO DE JANEIRO, Nov. 7 (Xinhua) -- Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff is likely to be reelected in the first round of elections in October next year, according to a poll released Thursday.

　　The poll, commissioned by the National Transports Confederation (NTC) and conducted by pollsters MDA, shows 43.4 percent of the electorate¹ plans to vote for Rousseff, while her closest rival, Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) Senator Aecio Neves, trails far behind with 19.3 percent. In the third place is Pernambuco state governor Eduardo Campos of the Brazilian Socialist² Party (PSB), with 9.5 percent.

　　The MDA credits Rousseff's likely win to the fact that her initial main rival, former senator and Environment Minister Marina Silva, left the race for the presidency³ and will probably run alongside Campos, as his vice⁴ presidential running mate.

　　Silva, who had some 20 percent backing among the electorate in mid-2013, decided⁵ to leave the race after her request to found a new political party was struck down by the Electoral Court, leaving her with no choice but to join another party.

　　The former senator chose to join the PSB party, whose likely candidate is Campos. With Silva out of the way, Rousseff's re- election bid is looking like a sure bet.

　　Rousseff's approval rating is at a fairly high 58.8 percent and climbing, according to the MDA poll, which noted⁶ that figure was 58 percent in a September poll.

　　Some 38.9 percent of those surveyed disapprove⁷ of her performance as head of state.

　　Her government's approval rating has also increased slightly, going from 38.1 percent in September to 39 percent.

　　Rousseff started the year with record-high approval, but her popularity took a hit following nationwide anti-government protests this June against poor public services, such as education and healthcare, and rampant⁸ public spending on the 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympic Games, both of which Brazil will be hosting.

　　But her numbers have bounced back.

　　According to the MDA's results, if the elections were held today, Rousseff would easily win in the first round with a clear majority of the votes, unless Silva gets back in the race, as the candidate, say, of the PSB.

　　In that scenario⁹, Rousseff would get 40.6 percent of votes, Silva, 22.6 percent, and Neves would fall to the third place with 16.5 percent of votes, leading to a second round between Silva and Rousseff, which Rousseff would win with 46.6 percent of votes against Silva's 29.1 percent.

　　Of those polled, 21.5 percent said they want the ruling Workers Party (PT) to remain in power, while 4.5 percent said they wanted the PSDB to govern.

　　The poll, carried out between Oct. 31 and Nov. 4, surveyed 2, 005 eligible¹⁰ voters in 135 towns around Brazil, and has a margin¹¹ of error of 2.2 percentage points.

1 electorate   

n.全体选民；选区

参考例句：

• The government was responsible to the electorate.政府对全体选民负责。
• He has the backing of almost a quarter of the electorate.他得到了几乎1/4选民的支持。

2 socialist   

n.社会主义者；adj.社会主义的

参考例句：

• China is a socialist country,and a developing country as well.中国是一个社会主义国家，也是一个发展中国家。
• His father was an ardent socialist.他父亲是一个热情的社会主义者。

3 presidency   

n.总统(校长，总经理)的职位(任期)

参考例句：

• Roosevelt was elected four times to the presidency of the United States.罗斯福连续当选四届美国总统。
• Two candidates are emerging as contestants for the presidency.两位候选人最终成为总统职位竞争者。

4 vice   

n.坏事；恶习；[pl.]台钳，老虎钳；adj.副的

参考例句：

• He guarded himself against vice.他避免染上坏习惯。
• They are sunk in the depth of vice.他们堕入了罪恶的深渊。

5 decided   

adj.决定了的，坚决的；明显的，明确的

参考例句：

• This gave them a decided advantage over their opponents.这使他们比对手具有明显的优势。
• There is a decided difference between British and Chinese way of greeting.英国人和中国人打招呼的方式有很明显的区别。

6 noted   

adj.著名的，知名的

参考例句：

• The local hotel is noted for its good table.当地的那家酒店以餐食精美而著称。
• Jim is noted for arriving late for work.吉姆上班迟到出了名。

7 disapprove   

v.不赞成，不同意，不批准

参考例句：

• I quite disapprove of his behaviour.我很不赞同他的行为。
• She wants to train for the theatre but her parents disapprove.她想训练自己做戏剧演员，但她的父母不赞成。

8 rampant   

adj.(植物)蔓生的；狂暴的，无约束的

参考例句：

• Sickness was rampant in the area.该地区疾病蔓延。
• You cannot allow children to rampant through the museum.你不能任由小孩子在博物馆里乱跑。

9 scenario   

n.剧本，脚本；概要

参考例句：

• But the birth scenario is not completely accurate.然而分娩脚本并非完全准确的。
• This is a totally different scenario.这是完全不同的剧本。

10 eligible   

adj.有条件被选中的；(尤指婚姻等)合适(意)的

参考例句：

• He is an eligible young man.他是一个合格的年轻人。
• Helen married an eligible bachelor.海伦嫁给了一个中意的单身汉。

11 margin   

n.页边空白；差额；余地，余裕；边，边缘

参考例句：

• We allowed a margin of 20 minutes in catching the train.我们有20分钟的余地赶火车。
• The village is situated at the margin of a forest.村子位于森林的边缘。